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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.97+9.65vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.55+2.82vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.37+6.19vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+3.79vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.95+1.64vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.00+4.32vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.44+1.62vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.67-0.40vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-2.11vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.25+5.81vs Predicted
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11University of Miami3.69-3.16vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.64-3.85vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University3.30-3.91vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.09-0.71vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25-5.68vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.91-9.09vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-4.02vs Predicted
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18Harvard University1.48-2.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.65Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
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4.82Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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9.19Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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7.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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6.64Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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10.32Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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8.62Connecticut College3.440.1%1st Place
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7.6U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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6.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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15.81Northeastern University1.250.0%1st Place
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7.84University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
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8.15Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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9.09Old Dominion University3.300.1%1st Place
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13.29Cornell University2.090.0%1st Place
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9.32St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
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6.91Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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12.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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15.1Harvard University1.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Price | 3.7% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 1.6% |
| Graham Landy | 14.5% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Hutchings | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Eamon Glackin | 6.2% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| William Macdonald | 10.6% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Fraser | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Peter Miller | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Michael Grove | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Zach Shapiro | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 19.2% | 45.0% |
| David Hernandez | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Lucas Adams | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Alexander Liem | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 16.1% | 18.0% | 10.3% |
| Ian Liberty | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| William Bowman | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Finneran | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 15.7% | 15.4% | 8.1% |
| Ames Lyman | 1.5% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 23.1% | 30.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.