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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University-0.79+5.01vs Predicted
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2Princeton University-0.32+3.02vs Predicted
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3Drexel University0.47-0.06vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-0.52+0.98vs Predicted
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5Rutgers University-1.50+2.56vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-1.55+1.82vs Predicted
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7St. John's College-0.86-1.00vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland-0.85-2.04vs Predicted
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9American University-1.01-2.61vs Predicted
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10Unknown School-0.93-3.80vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-2.31-1.33vs Predicted
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12University of Delaware-2.14-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.01Princeton University-0.798.1%1st Place
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5.02Princeton University-0.3211.8%1st Place
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2.94Drexel University0.4727.7%1st Place
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4.98Virginia Tech-0.5212.0%1st Place
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7.56Rutgers University-1.504.2%1st Place
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7.82Syracuse University-1.553.5%1st Place
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6.0St. John's College-0.867.1%1st Place
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5.96University of Maryland-0.857.1%1st Place
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6.39American University-1.016.3%1st Place
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6.2Unknown School-0.938.1%1st Place
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9.67U. S. Military Academy-2.311.9%1st Place
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9.44University of Delaware-2.142.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bracklinn Williams | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 1.7% |
| Carly Mraz | 11.8% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Iain Shand | 27.7% | 22.7% | 17.6% | 13.4% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matt Averyt | 12.0% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Marlon Wool | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 9.1% |
| Faith Otoole | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 15.8% | 10.4% |
| Silas Hodges | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 1.8% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Ryan Curtis | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 2.6% |
| Luke Plecinoga | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 2.0% |
| Alyssa Lee | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 11.2% | 18.2% | 37.8% |
| Myles Wommack | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 19.7% | 31.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.