Race 5A

mccurdy

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Iain Shand 29.8% 22.8% 16.9% 10.8% 7.8% 6.1% 3.1% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Ryan Curtis 7.8% 7.0% 8.8% 10.2% 8.4% 9.6% 10.9% 10.8% 10.7% 7.5% 5.6% 2.8%
Matt Averyt 10.7% 12.2% 12.7% 14.0% 11.2% 10.4% 8.6% 8.2% 5.9% 4.2% 1.3% 0.5%
Marlon Wool 4.6% 4.8% 6.2% 6.5% 6.6% 8.3% 7.6% 10.5% 11.9% 13.1% 11.9% 8.0%
Brian Zagalsky 7.8% 10.1% 9.6% 8.9% 10.5% 10.2% 8.8% 11.0% 9.7% 7.0% 5.3% 1.1%
Carly Mraz 12.0% 13.0% 12.6% 12.8% 12.6% 10.4% 9.4% 6.9% 4.7% 3.3% 1.4% 0.8%
Bracklinn Williams 8.5% 8.9% 8.8% 10.5% 11.3% 10.9% 9.9% 8.6% 7.9% 8.1% 4.4% 2.2%
Luke Plecinoga 7.0% 6.8% 9.2% 9.2% 10.3% 8.9% 12.6% 10.9% 9.2% 8.9% 5.0% 2.1%
Alexander Macaulay 3.8% 4.5% 5.1% 5.2% 6.0% 8.2% 7.6% 10.3% 13.2% 11.3% 13.7% 10.9%
Faith Otoole 3.8% 4.0% 4.8% 5.6% 6.8% 8.2% 8.8% 8.2% 9.7% 14.5% 13.7% 11.9%
Alyssa Lee 2.1% 2.5% 2.5% 2.8% 4.2% 3.4% 5.2% 5.7% 6.7% 9.6% 19.1% 36.4%
Brendan van Riper 2.2% 3.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.2% 5.3% 7.4% 7.4% 9.8% 12.2% 18.4% 23.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.