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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Drexel University0.47+1.78vs Predicted
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2Princeton University-0.79+3.78vs Predicted
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3American University-1.01+3.16vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-0.32+0.98vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.52-0.13vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-0.85-0.11vs Predicted
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7Unknown School-0.93-0.83vs Predicted
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8St. John's College-1.56-0.25vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University-1.55-1.27vs Predicted
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10Rutgers University-1.50-2.55vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-2.31-1.48vs Predicted
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12University of Delaware-2.05-3.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.78Drexel University0.4729.9%1st Place
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5.78Princeton University-0.797.5%1st Place
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6.16American University-1.016.5%1st Place
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4.98Princeton University-0.3211.6%1st Place
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4.87Virginia Tech-0.5212.0%1st Place
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5.89University of Maryland-0.858.0%1st Place
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6.17Unknown School-0.936.9%1st Place
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7.75St. John's College-1.563.9%1st Place
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7.73Syracuse University-1.554.4%1st Place
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7.45Rutgers University-1.504.8%1st Place
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9.52U. S. Military Academy-2.311.9%1st Place
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8.92University of Delaware-2.052.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iain Shand | 29.9% | 23.8% | 17.6% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Ryan Curtis | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 2.8% |
| Carly Mraz | 11.6% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Matt Averyt | 12.0% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| Luke Plecinoga | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 3.0% |
| Alexander Macaulay | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 10.5% |
| Faith Otoole | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 10.3% |
| Marlon Wool | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 8.6% |
| Alyssa Lee | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 18.2% | 35.3% |
| Brendan van Riper | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 18.1% | 24.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.