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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.97+9.68vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+6.02vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.91+4.01vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.44+4.51vs Predicted
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5University of Miami3.69+2.57vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.37+2.88vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.67+0.66vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-1.11vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.00+1.29vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.95-3.13vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25-1.55vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.30-2.49vs Predicted
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13Yale University4.55-8.41vs Predicted
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14Harvard University1.48+1.00vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.25+0.76vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.64-8.07vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-4.00vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.09-4.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.68Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
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8.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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7.01Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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8.51Connecticut College3.440.1%1st Place
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7.57University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
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8.88Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
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7.66U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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6.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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10.29Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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6.87Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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9.45St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.1%1st Place
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9.51Old Dominion University3.300.1%1st Place
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4.59Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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15.0Harvard University1.480.0%1st Place
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15.76Northeastern University1.250.0%1st Place
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7.93Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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13.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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13.37Cornell University2.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Price | 3.8% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 2.7% |
| Eamon Glackin | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| William Bowman | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Peter Miller | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| David Hernandez | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| William Hutchings | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Michael Grove | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 7.7% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Fraser | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| William Macdonald | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ian Liberty | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 5.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Graham Landy | 17.4% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ames Lyman | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 21.0% | 30.2% |
| Zach Shapiro | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 21.8% | 42.5% |
| Lucas Adams | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 12.0% | 15.4% | 15.4% | 9.1% |
| Alexander Liem | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 11.2% | 16.1% | 17.5% | 10.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.