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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1American University-1.01+5.23vs Predicted
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2Princeton University-0.32+2.98vs Predicted
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3Drexel University0.47-0.11vs Predicted
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4St. John's College-0.86+2.08vs Predicted
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5Unknown School-0.93+1.33vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.52-0.98vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-0.85-1.05vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.79-1.94vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-2.26+0.58vs Predicted
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10Rutgers University-1.50-2.37vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University-1.55-3.20vs Predicted
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12U. S. Military Academy-2.31-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.23American University-1.017.4%1st Place
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4.98Princeton University-0.3211.9%1st Place
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2.89Drexel University0.4729.8%1st Place
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6.08St. John's College-0.867.8%1st Place
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6.33Unknown School-0.936.3%1st Place
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5.02Virginia Tech-0.5210.8%1st Place
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5.95University of Maryland-0.857.6%1st Place
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6.06Princeton University-0.797.0%1st Place
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9.58University of Delaware-2.261.6%1st Place
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7.63Rutgers University-1.504.0%1st Place
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7.8Syracuse University-1.553.9%1st Place
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9.44U. S. Military Academy-2.311.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Curtis | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 2.6% |
| Carly Mraz | 11.9% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Iain Shand | 29.8% | 23.4% | 16.3% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Silas Hodges | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 2.2% |
| Luke Plecinoga | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 3.0% |
| Matt Averyt | 10.8% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 2.4% |
| Elise Singletary | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 12.5% | 18.8% | 33.8% |
| Marlon Wool | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 9.0% |
| Faith Otoole | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 14.3% | 9.7% |
| Alyssa Lee | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 18.1% | 34.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.