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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.52+4.09vs Predicted
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2Princeton University-0.79+3.96vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.32+1.90vs Predicted
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4Drexel University0.47-1.13vs Predicted
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5St. John's College-0.86+1.05vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-0.85+0.08vs Predicted
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7American University-1.01-0.59vs Predicted
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8Unknown School-0.93-1.83vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University-1.55-1.24vs Predicted
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10University of Delaware-2.26-0.48vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-2.31-1.40vs Predicted
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12Rutgers University-1.50-4.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.09Virginia Tech-0.5210.1%1st Place
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5.96Princeton University-0.797.8%1st Place
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4.9Princeton University-0.3211.8%1st Place
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2.87Drexel University0.4729.7%1st Place
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6.05St. John's College-0.867.8%1st Place
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6.08University of Maryland-0.857.3%1st Place
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6.41American University-1.016.0%1st Place
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6.17Unknown School-0.938.0%1st Place
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7.76Syracuse University-1.554.3%1st Place
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9.52University of Delaware-2.261.8%1st Place
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9.6U. S. Military Academy-2.311.5%1st Place
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7.6Rutgers University-1.503.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Averyt | 10.1% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| Carly Mraz | 11.8% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Iain Shand | 29.7% | 23.1% | 16.0% | 12.6% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Silas Hodges | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 1.7% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Ryan Curtis | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 2.6% |
| Luke Plecinoga | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 2.8% |
| Faith Otoole | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 11.1% |
| Elise Singletary | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 11.5% | 20.4% | 33.9% |
| Alyssa Lee | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 12.7% | 20.0% | 34.0% |
| Marlon Wool | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 8.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.