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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.97+9.63vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.67+5.89vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.55+1.81vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.44+4.53vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.91+1.89vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.64+1.90vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.30+2.24vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-0.21vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+3.79vs Predicted
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10Harvard University1.48+5.32vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.95-4.16vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25-2.31vs Predicted
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13University of Miami3.69-5.52vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.00-3.96vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-8.08vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.37-6.97vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.09-3.37vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.25-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.63Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
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7.89U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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4.81Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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8.53Connecticut College3.440.1%1st Place
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6.89Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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7.9Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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9.24Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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7.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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12.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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15.32Harvard University1.480.0%1st Place
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6.84Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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9.69St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
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7.48University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
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10.04Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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6.92Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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9.03Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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13.63Cornell University2.090.0%1st Place
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15.59Northeastern University1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Price | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 1.7% |
| Michael Grove | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Graham Landy | 15.1% | 14.0% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Miller | 5.8% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| William Bowman | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Adams | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% |
| Eamon Glackin | 6.1% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Finneran | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 15.5% | 14.7% | 6.3% |
| Ames Lyman | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 21.4% | 35.0% |
| William Macdonald | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Ian Liberty | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| David Hernandez | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Fraser | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William Hutchings | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Alexander Liem | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 17.7% | 19.4% | 11.3% |
| Zach Shapiro | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 12.3% | 20.8% | 40.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.