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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Drexel University0.47+1.93vs Predicted
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2Rutgers University-1.50+5.78vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.32+1.88vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-0.79+1.86vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.52+0.05vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-1.55+1.87vs Predicted
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7St. John's College-1.56+0.90vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-1.35-0.55vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland-0.85-3.06vs Predicted
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10U. S. Military Academy-2.31-0.31vs Predicted
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11Unknown School-0.93-4.76vs Predicted
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12American University-1.01-5.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.93Drexel University0.4729.8%1st Place
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7.78Rutgers University-1.504.2%1st Place
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4.88Princeton University-0.3211.7%1st Place
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5.86Princeton University-0.798.4%1st Place
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5.05Virginia Tech-0.5211.7%1st Place
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7.87Syracuse University-1.554.2%1st Place
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7.9St. John's College-1.563.6%1st Place
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7.45University of Delaware-1.354.8%1st Place
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5.94University of Maryland-0.856.8%1st Place
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9.69U. S. Military Academy-2.311.8%1st Place
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6.24Unknown School-0.936.3%1st Place
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6.39American University-1.016.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iain Shand | 29.8% | 22.7% | 15.2% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marlon Wool | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 11.0% |
| Carly Mraz | 11.7% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 2.1% |
| Matt Averyt | 11.7% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Faith Otoole | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 15.8% | 12.0% |
| Alexander Macaulay | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 12.6% |
| Addie Perez | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 8.8% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 6.8% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Alyssa Lee | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 15.6% | 42.2% |
| Luke Plecinoga | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% |
| Ryan Curtis | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.