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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Drexel University0.47+1.85vs Predicted
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2Princeton University-0.32+2.92vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.52+2.10vs Predicted
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4Rutgers University-1.50+3.61vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.79+1.00vs Predicted
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6American University-1.01+0.29vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-0.85-1.01vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-1.35-0.42vs Predicted
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9Unknown School-0.93-2.74vs Predicted
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10U. S. Military Academy-2.31-0.23vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University-1.55-3.27vs Predicted
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12St. John's College-1.56-4.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.85Drexel University0.4729.9%1st Place
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4.92Princeton University-0.3210.3%1st Place
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5.1Virginia Tech-0.5211.2%1st Place
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7.61Rutgers University-1.504.7%1st Place
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6.0Princeton University-0.798.0%1st Place
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6.29American University-1.016.5%1st Place
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5.99University of Maryland-0.857.8%1st Place
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7.58University of Delaware-1.354.2%1st Place
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6.26Unknown School-0.937.6%1st Place
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9.77U. S. Military Academy-2.311.8%1st Place
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7.73Syracuse University-1.554.1%1st Place
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7.9St. John's College-1.563.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iain Shand | 29.9% | 22.9% | 17.5% | 12.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carly Mraz | 10.3% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Matt Averyt | 11.2% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Marlon Wool | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 10.9% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 1.8% |
| Ryan Curtis | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 3.2% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
| Addie Perez | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 9.9% |
| Luke Plecinoga | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 3.4% |
| Alyssa Lee | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 10.2% | 15.6% | 42.5% |
| Faith Otoole | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 12.7% |
| Alexander Macaulay | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 11.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.