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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.67+6.89vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.44+6.86vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.97+7.71vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+3.75vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+1.94vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25+3.43vs Predicted
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7University of Miami3.69+0.66vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.95-1.39vs Predicted
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9Yale University4.55-4.42vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University3.30-0.58vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.64-3.02vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.37-2.81vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-0.37vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.91-7.38vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.09-1.46vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.00-5.61vs Predicted
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17Harvard University1.48-1.73vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.25-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.89U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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8.86Connecticut College3.440.0%1st Place
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10.71Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
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7.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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6.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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9.43St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
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7.66University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
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6.61Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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4.58Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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9.42Old Dominion University3.300.1%1st Place
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7.98Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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9.19Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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12.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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6.62Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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13.54Cornell University2.090.0%1st Place
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10.39Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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15.27Harvard University1.480.0%1st Place
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15.54Northeastern University1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Grove | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Peter Miller | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Price | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
| Eamon Glackin | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 8.2% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Ian Liberty | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| David Hernandez | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| William Macdonald | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Graham Landy | 16.5% | 15.4% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 6.3% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Lucas Adams | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| William Hutchings | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 7.5% |
| William Bowman | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Liem | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 14.7% | 16.7% | 13.2% |
| Cameron Fraser | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Ames Lyman | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 11.5% | 22.6% | 33.5% |
| Zach Shapiro | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 6.8% | 11.7% | 22.4% | 38.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.