Race 11A

mccurdy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Matt Averyt 10.9% 12.9% 12.3% 13.3% 12.8% 11.8% 10.2% 8.1% 5.2% 2.4%
Iain Shand 31.4% 22.3% 18.7% 11.5% 7.5% 4.5% 2.4% 1.5% 0.2% 0.1%
Bracklinn Williams 7.3% 8.6% 9.7% 10.5% 12.1% 12.4% 12.0% 11.8% 9.7% 5.9%
Carly Mraz 12.8% 13.3% 13.4% 12.6% 12.2% 11.7% 9.4% 7.3% 5.4% 1.9%
Brian Zagalsky 8.3% 9.4% 9.9% 11.6% 10.1% 10.9% 11.6% 11.7% 10.5% 6.0%
Ryan Curtis 7.4% 9.4% 9.2% 8.7% 9.2% 11.2% 12.4% 13.8% 11.7% 7.1%
Silas Hodges 8.0% 7.8% 8.5% 10.7% 11.2% 11.3% 13.1% 10.9% 11.9% 6.6%
Brendan van Riper 2.5% 2.9% 2.9% 3.9% 4.8% 6.1% 7.2% 10.0% 16.4% 43.5%
Luke Plecinoga 7.0% 8.2% 9.7% 9.7% 11.6% 11.6% 11.2% 11.6% 11.8% 7.8%
Marlon Wool 4.2% 5.1% 5.9% 7.7% 8.6% 8.6% 10.4% 13.5% 17.2% 18.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.