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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.55+3.93vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.67+5.91vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.44+5.84vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25+5.23vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+2.82vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.91+0.83vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.97+3.45vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-1.09vs Predicted
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9University of Miami3.69-1.37vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.00+0.62vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+1.90vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.37-2.81vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University3.30-3.93vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.64-6.45vs Predicted
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15Harvard University1.48+0.19vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.95-9.28vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.09-3.36vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.25-2.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.93Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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7.91U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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8.84Connecticut College3.440.1%1st Place
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9.23St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
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7.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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6.83Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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10.45Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
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6.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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7.63University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
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10.62Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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12.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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9.19Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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9.07Old Dominion University3.300.1%1st Place
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7.55Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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15.19Harvard University1.480.0%1st Place
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6.72Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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13.64Cornell University2.090.0%1st Place
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15.56Northeastern University1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Landy | 15.5% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Grove | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Peter Miller | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Ian Liberty | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Eamon Glackin | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| William Bowman | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Price | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| David Hernandez | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Fraser | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 9.6% |
| William Hutchings | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Lucas Adams | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ames Lyman | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 12.6% | 24.0% | 30.4% |
| William Macdonald | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Liem | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 16.9% | 17.5% | 13.7% |
| Zach Shapiro | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 21.9% | 39.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.