Race 12A

mccurdy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Carly Mraz 12.8% 12.6% 14.6% 12.4% 11.5% 10.4% 10.2% 7.8% 5.7% 1.9%
Matt Averyt 10.2% 13.2% 13.1% 13.0% 11.4% 12.3% 10.0% 9.9% 5.0% 2.0%
Marlon Wool 4.7% 5.9% 5.6% 6.2% 8.7% 9.5% 10.3% 12.5% 17.7% 19.1%
Iain Shand 30.0% 22.5% 16.7% 13.1% 8.0% 4.5% 3.2% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Ryan Curtis 7.8% 8.3% 9.6% 7.7% 10.8% 11.1% 12.2% 11.8% 11.7% 9.0%
Brian Zagalsky 8.1% 9.0% 9.3% 10.4% 12.9% 11.9% 13.2% 10.9% 9.1% 5.1%
Bracklinn Williams 8.5% 8.4% 9.7% 11.1% 11.7% 11.6% 11.6% 10.9% 9.8% 6.9%
Silas Hodges 7.2% 9.6% 9.4% 11.5% 10.9% 11.1% 10.9% 13.5% 10.5% 5.3%
Luke Plecinoga 7.8% 7.8% 8.8% 10.6% 10.2% 11.5% 11.4% 12.0% 12.8% 7.1%
Brendan van Riper 3.0% 2.7% 3.3% 4.0% 4.0% 6.1% 7.0% 8.8% 17.6% 43.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.