Race 1B

mccurdy

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Malik Deslauriers 21.7% 18.6% 18.1% 12.7% 9.6% 7.5% 5.1% 3.3% 2.0% 0.9% 0.5% 0.1%
William Roberts 13.4% 15.0% 11.3% 12.2% 12.4% 10.3% 7.4% 6.4% 5.7% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
Evelyn Walsh 8.5% 9.1% 8.2% 10.8% 10.2% 9.7% 9.6% 10.1% 9.6% 7.6% 5.2% 1.7%
Charlotte Shaw 6.9% 6.9% 6.5% 7.8% 7.6% 9.8% 10.5% 10.9% 10.8% 12.4% 7.1% 2.9%
Charlie Bullock 10.7% 10.5% 11.8% 10.4% 11.7% 10.7% 9.8% 9.0% 7.4% 5.1% 2.1% 0.8%
James Cottage 11.5% 11.9% 10.7% 11.6% 10.2% 10.8% 9.3% 8.3% 7.7% 4.7% 2.7% 0.7%
Conner Sciullo 7.3% 7.0% 8.6% 9.0% 9.3% 9.2% 10.8% 11.0% 9.6% 8.6% 6.9% 2.6%
Kaleth Cushman 7.8% 7.3% 7.7% 7.7% 8.9% 9.8% 10.1% 9.8% 10.9% 9.7% 6.6% 3.8%
Ralph Molinari 3.0% 2.9% 4.4% 4.5% 5.1% 4.9% 7.5% 7.7% 9.8% 14.4% 19.5% 16.2%
Seton Dill 5.1% 6.8% 8.1% 7.4% 8.5% 9.7% 9.6% 10.4% 10.4% 11.2% 8.8% 3.9%
Anselm Neville-Rhody 2.4% 2.3% 3.1% 3.4% 4.4% 4.3% 6.5% 7.3% 9.0% 11.5% 20.9% 24.9%
McCaslin Miles 1.7% 1.7% 1.6% 2.5% 2.1% 3.4% 3.6% 5.7% 7.1% 10.1% 18.2% 42.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.