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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.67+6.92vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+5.08vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+5.11vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.30+5.03vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.95+1.67vs Predicted
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6University of Miami3.69+1.70vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.37+1.85vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.55-3.34vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+3.78vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.91-2.91vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.64-2.99vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25-2.36vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.00-2.82vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College3.44-5.63vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.09-1.47vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.97-5.47vs Predicted
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17Harvard University1.48-1.72vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.25-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.92U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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7.08Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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8.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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9.03Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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6.67Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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7.7University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
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8.85Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
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4.66Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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12.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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7.09Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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8.01Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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9.64St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
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10.18Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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8.37Connecticut College3.440.1%1st Place
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13.53Cornell University2.090.0%1st Place
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10.53Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
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15.28Harvard University1.480.0%1st Place
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15.57Northeastern University1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Grove | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Eamon Glackin | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| William Macdonald | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| David Hernandez | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| William Hutchings | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Graham Landy | 16.4% | 16.6% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Finneran | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 6.5% |
| William Bowman | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Adams | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Ian Liberty | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Cameron Fraser | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Peter Miller | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Alexander Liem | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 11.4% | 14.8% | 16.6% | 13.2% |
| Christopher Price | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 5.4% | 2.2% |
| Ames Lyman | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 12.2% | 21.7% | 34.4% |
| Zach Shapiro | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 25.0% | 37.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.