Race 18B

thompson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
William Bowman 8.0% 8.3% 9.3% 6.8% 9.1% 6.0% 8.7% 6.8% 5.9% 7.6% 4.7% 7.3% 4.9% 2.6% 1.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Graham Landy 14.2% 14.8% 12.8% 13.7% 10.2% 7.6% 6.4% 6.8% 5.1% 2.7% 2.6% 1.2% 1.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott Hoffmann 3.9% 4.3% 4.5% 4.9% 5.7% 6.4% 6.0% 5.3% 7.3% 6.3% 6.8% 9.0% 7.9% 7.1% 6.6% 4.9% 2.7% 0.4%
Johnny Norfleet 9.2% 9.0% 8.6% 7.4% 9.0% 7.5% 6.0% 7.6% 7.8% 6.5% 5.5% 4.1% 4.2% 2.5% 2.7% 1.5% 0.8% 0.1%
Dylan Finneran 1.5% 2.2% 1.9% 2.9% 2.3% 2.9% 3.5% 4.1% 3.9% 2.6% 4.6% 4.3% 7.4% 7.3% 12.9% 14.7% 13.3% 7.7%
Eamon Glackin 7.1% 5.4% 7.3% 6.7% 6.1% 7.5% 8.4% 7.8% 7.0% 6.4% 6.3% 5.6% 5.5% 5.7% 3.3% 2.6% 0.7% 0.6%
William Macdonald 9.8% 9.2% 7.9% 8.3% 7.2% 9.0% 8.0% 7.3% 6.1% 6.9% 5.8% 5.1% 3.0% 2.9% 1.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Ian Liberty 4.4% 5.2% 5.0% 6.5% 4.8% 4.5% 6.8% 4.4% 6.7% 6.8% 5.6% 8.1% 8.5% 7.6% 6.9% 4.8% 2.8% 0.6%
Michael Grove 6.4% 6.3% 7.6% 6.8% 7.2% 8.0% 6.4% 8.9% 6.5% 6.9% 7.8% 6.7% 5.1% 3.7% 3.3% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1%
Cameron Fraser 3.7% 3.8% 3.6% 3.8% 3.6% 3.4% 4.9% 4.3% 6.0% 6.6% 6.4% 7.3% 9.1% 8.4% 8.2% 9.4% 5.8% 1.7%
Peter Miller 5.7% 5.9% 5.1% 5.7% 5.2% 6.4% 5.9% 7.4% 6.9% 6.1% 7.9% 7.0% 6.4% 8.4% 4.2% 3.3% 1.6% 0.9%
David Hernandez 6.6% 6.8% 7.1% 6.2% 7.6% 7.4% 6.1% 6.6% 6.1% 7.4% 7.1% 6.8% 5.7% 4.8% 4.1% 2.6% 0.9% 0.1%
Lucas Adams 7.8% 6.1% 7.9% 6.8% 7.3% 6.9% 6.7% 6.6% 6.9% 7.9% 7.5% 4.3% 5.5% 5.6% 3.2% 1.9% 1.0% 0.1%
William Hutchings 5.4% 6.2% 5.2% 7.4% 5.9% 6.4% 6.6% 5.8% 6.1% 6.1% 6.9% 6.8% 6.7% 6.4% 5.9% 3.8% 1.9% 0.5%
Christopher Price 3.2% 3.2% 4.0% 3.6% 4.6% 4.1% 5.4% 6.6% 5.2% 6.0% 6.3% 7.2% 8.2% 9.3% 9.3% 7.7% 5.0% 1.1%
Alexander Liem 1.3% 1.7% 0.8% 1.3% 2.0% 2.4% 2.6% 1.7% 2.8% 3.7% 4.3% 4.7% 4.3% 9.2% 11.7% 15.0% 16.9% 13.6%
Ames Lyman 0.8% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.9% 1.7% 1.2% 1.0% 2.3% 2.0% 2.2% 2.3% 3.7% 4.0% 7.0% 11.2% 24.1% 33.4%
Zach Shapiro 1.0% 0.7% 0.6% 0.7% 1.3% 1.9% 0.4% 1.0% 1.4% 1.5% 1.7% 2.2% 2.7% 3.9% 7.0% 11.8% 21.1% 39.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.