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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University-0.57+3.74vs Predicted
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2Princeton University-0.97+4.03vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.25+0.51vs Predicted
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4American University-0.66+1.02vs Predicted
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5St. John's College-1.23+1.44vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-0.67-0.90vs Predicted
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7Unknown School-1.13-0.73vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University-1.97+0.51vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-1.29-2.27vs Predicted
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10Drexel University-1.17-3.35vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University-2.20-1.92vs Predicted
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12U. S. Military Academy-2.68-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.74Princeton University-0.5712.2%1st Place
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6.03Princeton University-0.978.0%1st Place
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3.51Virginia Tech-0.2521.9%1st Place
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5.02American University-0.6611.6%1st Place
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6.44St. John's College-1.237.0%1st Place
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5.1University of Maryland-0.6712.0%1st Place
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6.27Unknown School-1.137.5%1st Place
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8.51Rutgers University-1.972.9%1st Place
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6.73University of Delaware-1.295.9%1st Place
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6.65Drexel University-1.176.9%1st Place
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9.08Syracuse University-2.202.7%1st Place
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9.91U. S. Military Academy-2.681.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
William Roberts | 12.2% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
Evelyn Walsh | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
Malik Deslauriers | 21.9% | 19.7% | 16.6% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
James Cottage | 11.6% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
Kaleth Cushman | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 3.2% |
Charlie Bullock | 12.0% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
Conner Sciullo | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 2.8% |
Ralph Molinari | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 14.7% | 18.3% | 16.3% |
Seton Dill | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 3.9% |
Charlotte Shaw | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 3.6% |
Anselm Neville-Rhody | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 14.3% | 21.8% | 22.8% |
McCaslin Miles | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 17.1% | 43.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.