Race 1A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Davida Judelson 6.8% 8.2% 6.9% 10.3% 10.3% 12.4% 15.8% 15.9% 13.4%
Johannes Raatz 11.6% 12.5% 15.6% 13.8% 14.9% 12.1% 9.4% 6.8% 3.3%
Michael Lukas 9.1% 10.6% 10.8% 11.5% 13.6% 13.0% 14.6% 9.9% 6.9%
Adam Weisman 27.3% 23.8% 17.4% 12.0% 9.5% 4.7% 3.3% 1.8% 0.2%
Ann Sager 7.1% 10.0% 10.4% 12.3% 10.0% 10.6% 13.3% 15.1% 11.2%
James Downer 18.5% 16.7% 17.5% 14.5% 11.9% 10.1% 6.7% 2.8% 1.3%
Andrew Smith 3.9% 3.2% 3.7% 5.1% 7.3% 9.2% 11.5% 16.5% 39.6%
Jackson Chabot 9.0% 8.0% 9.6% 10.7% 12.1% 14.5% 12.2% 13.4% 10.5%
Tyler Durant 6.7% 7.0% 8.1% 9.8% 10.4% 13.4% 13.2% 17.8% 13.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.