Race 3B

mccurdy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

91.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Evelyn Walsh 8.8% 9.2% 8.8% 10.7% 12.2% 12.1% 12.1% 10.0% 7.8% 5.8% 2.4% 0.4%
Jared Cohen 17.9% 17.7% 18.0% 13.0% 12.2% 8.4% 6.5% 3.6% 1.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
William Roberts 14.3% 14.8% 13.0% 13.9% 12.2% 11.3% 8.2% 5.9% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
James Cottage 12.4% 13.0% 11.8% 12.3% 12.2% 11.9% 10.0% 8.1% 5.2% 2.2% 0.8% 0.1%
Malik Deslauriers 22.9% 19.7% 17.3% 12.8% 10.1% 8.6% 4.1% 2.8% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.1%
Conner Sciullo 7.7% 6.4% 8.5% 10.9% 10.2% 11.2% 13.2% 10.4% 9.8% 8.3% 3.1% 0.4%
Kate Faranetta 4.7% 5.9% 6.2% 7.8% 7.6% 9.7% 11.6% 13.7% 13.4% 10.5% 6.7% 2.4%
Ben Muchin 3.9% 4.2% 5.5% 7.0% 7.9% 8.4% 10.5% 12.5% 14.8% 12.0% 10.4% 2.9%
Anselm Neville-Rhody 2.4% 2.6% 4.3% 3.5% 5.1% 6.2% 7.7% 10.4% 12.6% 18.2% 18.1% 8.9%
Michael Pugh 2.8% 3.9% 3.9% 4.8% 5.8% 6.4% 8.3% 11.1% 13.7% 16.6% 14.8% 8.1%
McCaslin Miles 1.4% 1.9% 1.9% 2.4% 3.2% 3.6% 5.2% 7.6% 9.9% 14.6% 25.8% 22.2%
Tia Peterson 0.8% 0.5% 0.9% 1.1% 1.4% 2.2% 2.7% 4.0% 6.1% 8.6% 17.2% 54.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.