← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University2.33+1.97vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University1.92+1.86vs Predicted
-
3Amherst College1.69+1.18vs Predicted
-
4University of New Hampshire1.04+1.42vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.27+1.83vs Predicted
-
6Brandeis University0.95-0.34vs Predicted
-
8Harvard University1.31-3.07vs Predicted
-
9Bentley University0.92-3.23vs Predicted
-
12Boston University1.12-6.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.97Tufts University2.330.3%1st Place
-
3.86Tufts University1.920.1%1st Place
-
4.18Amherst College1.690.1%1st Place
-
5.42University of New Hampshire1.040.1%1st Place
-
6.83Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
-
5.66Brandeis University0.950.1%1st Place
-
4.93Harvard University1.310.1%1st Place
-
5.77Bentley University0.920.1%1st Place
-
5.37Boston University1.120.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Weisman | 26.6% | 22.7% | 16.4% | 13.7% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| James Downer | 14.6% | 18.3% | 16.7% | 14.7% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| Johannes Raatz | 14.6% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 2.2% |
| Ann Sager | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 15.8% | 11.5% |
| Andrew Smith | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 15.4% | 38.5% |
| Davida Judelson | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 15.5% | 15.9% | 12.7% |
| Michael Lukas | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 14.2% | 10.3% | 5.9% |
| Tyler Durant | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 14.9% | 16.3% | 15.8% |
| Jackson Chabot | 8.6% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 10.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.