← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Adam Weisman 26.6% 22.7% 16.4% 13.7% 8.9% 6.4% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2%
James Downer 14.6% 18.3% 16.7% 14.7% 11.6% 9.9% 7.4% 4.3% 2.5%
Johannes Raatz 14.6% 14.2% 13.6% 13.3% 13.8% 12.7% 8.8% 6.8% 2.2%
Ann Sager 7.5% 9.3% 10.2% 9.3% 11.6% 13.4% 11.4% 15.8% 11.5%
Andrew Smith 3.4% 4.2% 6.0% 7.1% 7.4% 7.4% 10.6% 15.4% 38.5%
Davida Judelson 7.2% 7.3% 7.5% 9.9% 11.6% 12.4% 15.5% 15.9% 12.7%
Michael Lukas 9.8% 10.4% 9.9% 13.2% 13.0% 13.3% 14.2% 10.3% 5.9%
Tyler Durant 7.7% 6.2% 8.8% 9.0% 10.2% 11.1% 14.9% 16.3% 15.8%
Jackson Chabot 8.6% 7.4% 10.9% 9.8% 11.9% 13.4% 13.2% 14.1% 10.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.