Race 4B

mccurdy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Malik Deslauriers 23.6% 19.1% 15.6% 14.1% 10.7% 7.6% 5.3% 2.3% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
James Cottage 11.2% 11.6% 13.1% 12.8% 12.0% 11.9% 9.6% 8.4% 5.9% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1%
William Roberts 14.4% 13.4% 13.1% 13.0% 11.2% 11.7% 10.1% 7.3% 3.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
Evelyn Walsh 7.8% 9.9% 9.3% 10.1% 12.4% 12.2% 12.2% 9.8% 8.2% 4.6% 2.8% 0.6%
Jared Cohen 18.6% 17.3% 17.1% 13.7% 11.4% 9.4% 5.8% 4.0% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Kate Faranetta 5.5% 5.1% 7.4% 7.1% 9.4% 10.1% 11.7% 13.4% 12.8% 9.6% 6.2% 1.8%
Conner Sciullo 7.9% 9.2% 8.3% 9.4% 10.8% 11.8% 12.7% 11.0% 8.6% 6.3% 3.4% 0.5%
Ben Muchin 3.7% 5.8% 5.7% 7.7% 7.0% 7.6% 10.8% 12.2% 14.1% 14.0% 8.1% 3.3%
Michael Pugh 2.5% 3.5% 4.2% 4.6% 5.5% 6.9% 7.0% 10.9% 13.6% 17.9% 15.3% 8.2%
Anselm Neville-Rhody 2.9% 3.0% 3.5% 3.9% 4.9% 5.3% 7.1% 9.6% 14.5% 17.7% 18.1% 9.5%
McCaslin Miles 1.2% 1.4% 1.9% 2.4% 3.4% 3.8% 4.9% 7.0% 10.2% 15.8% 28.0% 20.2%
Tia Peterson 0.7% 0.8% 0.9% 1.3% 1.4% 1.6% 2.9% 4.1% 4.8% 8.9% 17.0% 55.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.