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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.92+2.70vs Predicted
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2Amherst College1.69+2.33vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire1.04+2.55vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.33-1.10vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.31-0.20vs Predicted
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6Brandeis University0.95-0.38vs Predicted
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9Bentley University0.92-3.21vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.27-3.01vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.12-5.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.7Tufts University1.920.2%1st Place
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4.33Amherst College1.690.1%1st Place
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5.55University of New Hampshire1.040.1%1st Place
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2.9Tufts University2.330.3%1st Place
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4.8Harvard University1.310.1%1st Place
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5.62Brandeis University0.950.1%1st Place
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5.79Bentley University0.920.1%1st Place
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6.99Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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5.32Boston University1.120.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Downer | 18.4% | 16.3% | 14.5% | 16.7% | 13.6% | 9.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 1.0% |
| Johannes Raatz | 11.6% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 15.4% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 3.5% |
| Ann Sager | 7.6% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 15.5% | 12.4% |
| Adam Weisman | 27.4% | 23.5% | 16.9% | 13.2% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Michael Lukas | 10.0% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 7.1% |
| Davida Judelson | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 16.0% | 15.5% | 11.9% |
| Tyler Durant | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 17.7% | 13.7% |
| Andrew Smith | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 17.0% | 39.5% |
| Jackson Chabot | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 15.7% | 11.6% | 10.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.