Race 5B

mccurdy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
William Roberts 12.8% 14.8% 14.1% 13.7% 11.2% 9.3% 8.5% 6.7% 4.4% 3.0% 1.1% 0.4%
Malik Deslauriers 23.4% 19.3% 14.8% 13.6% 10.8% 7.4% 5.3% 3.3% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Evelyn Walsh 7.5% 10.0% 9.1% 9.6% 10.7% 10.7% 10.9% 10.2% 9.1% 7.1% 3.8% 1.4%
Henry Stockman 7.2% 8.3% 8.6% 9.8% 10.3% 9.6% 10.2% 11.1% 10.5% 7.8% 5.0% 1.6%
James Cottage 12.1% 12.0% 12.0% 11.6% 12.2% 11.7% 9.6% 7.9% 6.1% 3.0% 1.4% 0.4%
Charlie Bullock 12.9% 11.3% 13.5% 11.9% 11.1% 10.8% 9.7% 8.2% 5.9% 2.8% 1.2% 0.7%
Charlotte Shaw 7.5% 6.0% 8.7% 8.6% 8.4% 10.2% 11.3% 11.2% 10.4% 8.8% 6.7% 2.2%
Ralph Molinari 3.2% 3.1% 4.2% 4.2% 4.7% 6.8% 8.2% 10.0% 11.6% 15.6% 16.0% 12.7%
Anselm Neville-Rhody 2.9% 2.4% 2.4% 3.6% 4.5% 5.2% 5.7% 8.5% 11.0% 16.2% 19.6% 18.2%
Walker Aprill 7.4% 8.5% 8.1% 7.9% 9.8% 9.2% 10.1% 9.9% 11.5% 9.8% 5.7% 2.4%
McCaslin Miles 1.2% 1.8% 2.2% 2.5% 2.9% 3.6% 4.2% 5.7% 8.3% 11.3% 18.9% 37.4%
Amira Kleiman 1.8% 2.4% 2.4% 3.0% 3.5% 5.5% 6.5% 7.6% 9.8% 14.2% 20.6% 22.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.