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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
James Downer 17.8% 16.8% 15.5% 16.2% 11.2% 10.5% 6.4% 4.6% 1.0%
Johannes Raatz 11.9% 13.0% 16.4% 13.7% 14.3% 10.3% 8.9% 8.0% 3.5%
Ann Sager 7.5% 7.1% 10.4% 9.9% 10.1% 12.9% 14.4% 14.9% 12.8%
Adam Weisman 27.0% 25.0% 16.9% 11.8% 9.4% 4.9% 3.2% 1.3% 0.5%
Andrew Smith 3.2% 4.6% 5.6% 7.3% 5.9% 9.6% 10.1% 16.2% 37.5%
Michael Lukas 10.4% 10.3% 10.8% 12.0% 13.3% 14.2% 12.6% 10.3% 6.1%
Davida Judelson 6.8% 7.6% 6.8% 9.2% 12.5% 12.5% 15.7% 16.3% 12.6%
Tyler Durant 7.5% 6.6% 7.8% 9.3% 10.9% 11.6% 15.5% 14.9% 15.9%
Jackson Chabot 7.9% 9.0% 9.8% 10.6% 12.4% 13.5% 13.2% 13.5% 10.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.