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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.92+2.72vs Predicted
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2Amherst College1.69+2.33vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire1.04+2.56vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.33-1.11vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.27+1.83vs Predicted
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6Harvard University1.31-1.11vs Predicted
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8Brandeis University0.95-2.30vs Predicted
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9Bentley University0.92-3.24vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.12-5.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.72Tufts University1.920.2%1st Place
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4.33Amherst College1.690.1%1st Place
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5.56University of New Hampshire1.040.1%1st Place
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2.89Tufts University2.330.3%1st Place
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6.83Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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4.89Harvard University1.310.1%1st Place
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5.7Brandeis University0.950.1%1st Place
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5.76Bentley University0.920.1%1st Place
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5.32Boston University1.120.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Downer | 17.8% | 16.8% | 15.5% | 16.2% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 1.0% |
| Johannes Raatz | 11.9% | 13.0% | 16.4% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 3.5% |
| Ann Sager | 7.5% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 14.4% | 14.9% | 12.8% |
| Adam Weisman | 27.0% | 25.0% | 16.9% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Smith | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 16.2% | 37.5% |
| Michael Lukas | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 6.1% |
| Davida Judelson | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 15.7% | 16.3% | 12.6% |
| Tyler Durant | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 15.5% | 14.9% | 15.9% |
| Jackson Chabot | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 10.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.