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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.25+2.44vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland-0.67+3.04vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.57+1.53vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-1.17+2.30vs Predicted
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5Rutgers University-1.97+3.27vs Predicted
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6American University-0.66-1.15vs Predicted
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7St. John's College-1.08-1.11vs Predicted
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8Unknown School-1.19-1.82vs Predicted
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9U. S. Military Academy-2.68+0.75vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University-2.20-1.22vs Predicted
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11University of Delaware-2.35-1.79vs Predicted
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12Princeton University-0.97-6.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.44Virginia Tech-0.2522.4%1st Place
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5.04University of Maryland-0.6711.7%1st Place
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4.53Princeton University-0.5712.8%1st Place
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6.3Drexel University-1.178.2%1st Place
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8.27Rutgers University-1.973.1%1st Place
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4.85American University-0.6611.3%1st Place
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5.89St. John's College-1.088.2%1st Place
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6.18Unknown School-1.197.1%1st Place
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9.75U. S. Military Academy-2.681.8%1st Place
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8.78Syracuse University-2.202.2%1st Place
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9.21University of Delaware-2.352.1%1st Place
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5.77Princeton University-0.978.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Deslauriers | 22.4% | 19.4% | 16.2% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Bullock | 11.7% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| William Roberts | 12.8% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Shaw | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 5.1% | 2.3% |
| Ralph Molinari | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 13.5% | 15.2% | 16.8% | 12.2% |
| James Cottage | 11.3% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Henry Stockman | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Walker Aprill | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 2.6% |
| McCaslin Miles | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 19.4% | 36.0% |
| Anselm Neville-Rhody | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 14.8% | 19.4% | 18.3% |
| Amira Kleiman | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 14.4% | 21.8% | 24.1% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.