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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.92+2.71vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.33+1.11vs Predicted
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3Amherst College1.69+1.19vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire1.04+1.43vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.31-0.22vs Predicted
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6Brandeis University0.95-0.34vs Predicted
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8Bentley University0.92-2.20vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.27-4.00vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.12-6.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.71Tufts University1.920.2%1st Place
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3.11Tufts University2.330.2%1st Place
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4.19Amherst College1.690.1%1st Place
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5.43University of New Hampshire1.040.1%1st Place
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4.78Harvard University1.310.1%1st Place
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5.66Brandeis University0.950.1%1st Place
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5.8Bentley University0.920.1%1st Place
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7.0Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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5.32Boston University1.120.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Downer | 18.5% | 16.9% | 14.4% | 16.0% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Adam Weisman | 23.9% | 23.5% | 16.2% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Johannes Raatz | 13.6% | 13.1% | 16.3% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 2.1% |
| Ann Sager | 7.0% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 10.9% | 14.9% | 12.0% |
| Michael Lukas | 10.6% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 9.5% | 7.1% |
| Davida Judelson | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 15.0% | 15.8% | 13.0% |
| Tyler Durant | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 14.7% | 17.1% | 14.3% |
| Andrew Smith | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 12.3% | 16.9% | 39.4% |
| Jackson Chabot | 9.0% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 9.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.