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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland-0.08+3.07vs Predicted
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2Princeton University-0.57+2.80vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.25+0.72vs Predicted
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4Rutgers University-1.39+3.35vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-1.29+1.92vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-1.66+1.69vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.97-0.82vs Predicted
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8St. John's College-1.23-1.33vs Predicted
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9Unknown School-1.13-2.60vs Predicted
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10American University-0.66-4.88vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University-2.20-1.94vs Predicted
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12U. S. Military Academy-2.68-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.07University of Maryland-0.0816.0%1st Place
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4.8Princeton University-0.5712.8%1st Place
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3.72Virginia Tech-0.2520.6%1st Place
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7.35Rutgers University-1.394.5%1st Place
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6.92University of Delaware-1.295.7%1st Place
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7.69Drexel University-1.664.4%1st Place
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6.18Princeton University-0.977.8%1st Place
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6.67St. John's College-1.237.1%1st Place
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6.4Unknown School-1.136.3%1st Place
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5.12American University-0.6611.1%1st Place
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9.06Syracuse University-2.202.1%1st Place
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10.02U. S. Military Academy-2.681.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Cohen | 16.0% | 16.3% | 14.5% | 15.2% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| William Roberts | 12.8% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 20.6% | 17.3% | 16.2% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kate Faranetta | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 6.2% |
| Seton Dill | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 4.9% |
| Ben Muchin | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 9.4% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 1.7% |
| Kaleth Cushman | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 3.6% |
| Conner Sciullo | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 2.9% |
| James Cottage | 11.1% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Anselm Neville-Rhody | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 14.2% | 20.6% | 24.8% |
| McCaslin Miles | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 9.9% | 16.7% | 45.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.