Race 1B

wellesley-invite

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Forrest Hardy -- BRANDEIS 88.3% 10.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mackenzie Loy 3.8% 34.4% 30.3% 19.4% 7.0% 4.0% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Jinyan Zang 0.3% 2.4% 3.0% 4.9% 8.5% 14.5% 18.2% 25.3% 22.9%
Andrew Morgan 1.3% 11.0% 15.2% 24.5% 22.2% 13.0% 8.1% 4.0% 0.7%
Francisco Salas 0.2% 2.4% 4.7% 8.0% 10.9% 16.2% 17.1% 22.9% 17.6%
Connor Roelke 0.7% 4.5% 6.4% 9.7% 15.1% 20.9% 21.5% 14.4% 6.8%
Conor Fowler 4.0% 29.0% 29.5% 19.3% 12.3% 4.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Helaine Meyer 1.2% 4.6% 7.7% 10.8% 18.9% 19.4% 19.5% 12.4% 5.5%
Eliza Ali 0.2% 1.4% 2.1% 3.1% 5.1% 7.6% 13.3% 20.7% 46.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.