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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.25+2.75vs Predicted
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2Princeton University-0.57+2.83vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-0.08+1.08vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-0.97+2.27vs Predicted
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5Unknown School-1.13+1.59vs Predicted
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6American University-0.66-0.69vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-1.29-0.07vs Predicted
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8Drexel University-1.17-1.23vs Predicted
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9Rutgers University-1.39-1.58vs Predicted
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10St. John's College-1.23-3.32vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University-2.20-1.88vs Predicted
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12U. S. Military Academy-2.68-1.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.75Virginia Tech-0.2518.9%1st Place
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4.83Princeton University-0.5712.2%1st Place
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4.08University of Maryland-0.0817.6%1st Place
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6.27Princeton University-0.977.4%1st Place
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6.59Unknown School-1.136.6%1st Place
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5.31American University-0.6610.4%1st Place
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6.93University of Delaware-1.296.3%1st Place
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6.77Drexel University-1.175.3%1st Place
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7.42Rutgers University-1.395.2%1st Place
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6.68St. John's College-1.236.9%1st Place
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9.12Syracuse University-2.202.2%1st Place
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10.26U. S. Military Academy-2.680.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Deslauriers | 18.9% | 18.4% | 15.8% | 14.2% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| William Roberts | 12.2% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Jared Cohen | 17.6% | 16.7% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| Conner Sciullo | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 3.5% |
| James Cottage | 10.4% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Seton Dill | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 4.7% |
| Charlotte Shaw | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 3.2% |
| Kate Faranetta | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 7.0% |
| Kaleth Cushman | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 3.2% |
| Anselm Neville-Rhody | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 22.3% | 24.1% |
| McCaslin Miles | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 16.2% | 49.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.