Race 9B

mccurdy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Malik Deslauriers 26.2% 20.9% 17.1% 12.4% 9.4% 7.1% 3.9% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
William Roberts 14.4% 14.8% 14.9% 13.3% 12.6% 10.1% 8.0% 6.2% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Ralph Molinari 3.4% 3.4% 4.5% 5.0% 5.1% 7.2% 8.8% 12.5% 12.4% 16.9% 14.8% 6.0%
Charlie Bullock 12.4% 12.2% 13.7% 13.4% 10.8% 11.6% 10.8% 7.1% 4.8% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
Evelyn Walsh 8.2% 10.1% 9.2% 10.8% 12.6% 12.0% 11.4% 9.4% 8.8% 5.2% 1.9% 0.4%
James Cottage 12.4% 12.8% 13.4% 12.3% 12.3% 10.5% 10.0% 7.3% 5.0% 2.9% 0.9% 0.1%
Walker Aprill 7.3% 8.2% 7.1% 10.2% 10.7% 12.8% 11.2% 12.0% 9.7% 6.9% 3.1% 0.9%
Charlotte Shaw 7.0% 7.7% 9.0% 9.3% 10.5% 10.5% 11.9% 10.8% 10.8% 7.5% 3.9% 1.1%
McCaslin Miles 1.4% 2.4% 1.8% 2.5% 3.4% 4.0% 4.8% 7.3% 10.9% 15.2% 24.4% 21.9%
Anselm Neville-Rhody 3.2% 3.0% 3.7% 4.8% 4.9% 5.5% 8.4% 11.2% 13.3% 16.3% 17.3% 8.4%
Michael Pugh 2.9% 3.8% 4.5% 4.5% 5.7% 6.5% 8.6% 10.2% 14.4% 15.4% 16.4% 7.1%
Tia Peterson 1.2% 0.7% 1.1% 1.7% 1.9% 2.2% 2.2% 3.8% 5.6% 9.7% 16.2% 53.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.