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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University5.58+0.14vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.58+2.68vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.78+0.02vs Predicted
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6Bentley University0.12+0.67vs Predicted
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7Brandeis University0.79-1.33vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.55-4.78vs Predicted
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9Harvard University-0.02-2.04vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire0.61-4.05vs Predicted
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11Amherst College-0.58-3.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.14Tufts University5.580.9%1st Place
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4.68Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.580.0%1st Place
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3.02Tufts University2.780.1%1st Place
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6.67Bentley University0.120.0%1st Place
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5.67Brandeis University0.790.0%1st Place
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3.22Boston University2.550.0%1st Place
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6.96Harvard University-0.020.0%1st Place
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5.95University of New Hampshire0.610.0%1st Place
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7.69Amherst College-0.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forrest Hardy -- BRANDEIS | 87.4% | 11.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Morgan | 1.2% | 8.2% | 14.7% | 23.5% | 22.3% | 16.0% | 9.1% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Mackenzie Loy | 5.1% | 35.4% | 28.8% | 18.4% | 8.7% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Francisco Salas | 0.4% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 12.3% | 15.3% | 21.0% | 23.0% | 15.8% |
| Helaine Meyer | 0.6% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 14.4% | 15.4% | 20.6% | 18.3% | 10.8% | 6.5% |
| Conor Fowler | 3.6% | 29.2% | 32.5% | 18.1% | 11.4% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jinyan Zang | 0.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 9.4% | 14.6% | 18.6% | 25.1% | 22.1% |
| Connor Roelke | 1.1% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 10.9% | 16.1% | 19.3% | 18.7% | 15.3% | 8.1% |
| Eliza Ali | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 12.5% | 21.5% | 46.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.