Race 3A

nu-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Delaney Smith 48.2% 29.3% 13.4% 6.2% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
James Leavitt 15.2% 19.1% 20.4% 16.2% 13.7% 9.2% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
John McCalmont 6.7% 10.1% 12.1% 15.9% 17.2% 16.1% 12.3% 7.5% 2.2% 0.1%
Penelope Whiteside 9.0% 13.1% 16.0% 17.0% 16.6% 13.2% 9.7% 4.2% 1.1% 0.1%
Rakesh Dhiman 8.4% 11.8% 15.2% 16.7% 16.9% 14.3% 10.2% 5.0% 1.5% 0.1%
Hayden Johansen 7.0% 9.0% 12.1% 13.4% 15.0% 18.0% 14.8% 7.9% 2.5% 0.3%
Sean Bascoe 0.7% 2.3% 2.9% 3.2% 4.9% 8.1% 12.2% 21.3% 33.1% 11.3%
Andrew Beute 1.9% 2.8% 3.2% 5.1% 5.9% 8.4% 15.4% 24.2% 25.7% 7.3%
Adam Bryan 0.4% 0.1% 0.7% 0.9% 1.0% 1.6% 2.6% 5.2% 11.2% 76.1%
Marguerite Eno 2.5% 2.3% 4.0% 5.5% 7.2% 10.4% 17.6% 23.3% 22.4% 4.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.