Race 3B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Forrest Hardy -- BRANDEIS 87.6% 10.6% 1.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Morgan 1.2% 8.6% 14.8% 24.4% 20.3% 16.7% 9.4% 3.6% 1.0%
Mackenzie Loy 4.9% 36.8% 28.9% 18.2% 7.4% 3.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Conor Fowler 4.1% 30.2% 31.1% 19.5% 10.2% 3.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Connor Roelke 0.5% 3.8% 7.4% 12.5% 16.2% 19.7% 18.4% 14.0% 7.5%
Jinyan Zang 0.3% 1.8% 3.8% 5.6% 9.5% 13.2% 19.2% 25.7% 20.9%
Helaine Meyer 0.7% 4.5% 7.2% 10.2% 20.0% 21.2% 18.5% 12.5% 5.2%
Eliza Ali 0.2% 1.3% 1.6% 3.5% 6.1% 7.2% 13.0% 20.5% 46.6%
Francisco Salas 0.5% 2.4% 3.5% 6.0% 10.3% 15.0% 20.1% 23.4% 18.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.