Race 10B

mccurdy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Charlie Bullock 12.9% 11.9% 14.8% 12.1% 12.7% 11.5% 10.2% 6.5% 4.8% 1.8% 0.9% 0.0%
Malik Deslauriers 24.8% 22.6% 16.5% 13.4% 9.2% 6.4% 4.0% 2.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Evelyn Walsh 9.2% 9.3% 10.9% 10.4% 11.2% 11.2% 11.2% 10.5% 8.2% 5.3% 2.1% 0.4%
William Roberts 15.2% 14.4% 13.4% 14.1% 12.2% 10.8% 8.9% 5.8% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Charlotte Shaw 6.9% 7.2% 8.6% 10.2% 10.4% 12.2% 12.8% 10.7% 10.0% 7.4% 2.9% 0.8%
Ralph Molinari 3.1% 3.8% 4.8% 4.9% 5.5% 5.3% 9.2% 12.4% 14.0% 17.9% 13.0% 6.0%
James Cottage 12.4% 12.9% 12.3% 13.3% 12.7% 12.1% 9.2% 7.4% 4.5% 2.1% 0.9% 0.1%
Walker Aprill 7.2% 8.7% 8.3% 8.8% 9.8% 12.2% 10.9% 12.2% 10.4% 6.8% 3.9% 0.8%
Anselm Neville-Rhody 2.6% 3.6% 3.0% 4.5% 4.8% 6.8% 7.8% 10.2% 14.3% 16.3% 17.2% 9.0%
Michael Pugh 2.8% 3.0% 3.9% 4.8% 6.2% 6.5% 7.8% 10.7% 14.1% 17.8% 15.8% 6.8%
McCaslin Miles 2.1% 1.9% 2.3% 2.5% 3.8% 3.8% 5.3% 7.4% 9.8% 14.2% 25.8% 21.1%
Tia Peterson 0.8% 0.5% 1.2% 1.1% 1.6% 1.2% 2.8% 4.0% 5.7% 8.8% 17.2% 55.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.