Race 4B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Forrest Hardy -- BRANDEIS 87.6% 10.6% 1.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Morgan 1.2% 8.7% 14.7% 23.8% 22.3% 15.9% 8.5% 3.8% 1.1%
Mackenzie Loy 4.9% 35.8% 30.4% 16.5% 8.9% 2.9% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Conor Fowler 4.1% 30.0% 29.9% 20.7% 10.7% 2.8% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Helaine Meyer 0.6% 4.9% 8.6% 14.3% 18.1% 19.1% 16.4% 12.7% 5.3%
Connor Roelke 0.6% 3.7% 6.1% 10.9% 15.9% 20.0% 21.0% 14.7% 7.1%
Francisco Salas 0.4% 2.9% 3.1% 5.7% 9.4% 15.9% 21.4% 23.8% 17.4%
Eliza Ali 0.2% 1.4% 1.7% 2.8% 6.5% 7.9% 12.2% 19.7% 47.6%
Jinyan Zang 0.4% 2.0% 3.8% 5.2% 8.2% 15.5% 18.3% 25.1% 21.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.