Race 11B

mccurdy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
William Roberts 14.8% 14.2% 13.9% 13.2% 12.4% 10.3% 8.8% 7.0% 4.0% 1.5%
Malik Deslauriers 22.0% 21.1% 16.4% 12.3% 11.2% 7.0% 4.7% 3.7% 1.4% 0.3%
Charlie Bullock 10.8% 10.7% 12.7% 13.7% 12.3% 12.6% 10.4% 7.9% 6.1% 2.9%
James Cottage 13.0% 11.8% 12.1% 12.5% 10.3% 12.9% 11.3% 8.1% 5.5% 2.4%
Conner Sciullo 7.8% 8.5% 8.9% 9.7% 10.8% 9.7% 12.7% 12.1% 12.0% 7.8%
Henry Stockman 8.2% 8.2% 9.2% 9.8% 10.0% 11.5% 11.3% 11.8% 12.7% 7.4%
Evelyn Walsh 8.5% 10.8% 8.6% 8.6% 10.4% 10.8% 11.2% 12.7% 11.2% 7.2%
Kate Faranetta 6.0% 5.4% 6.3% 6.8% 7.6% 9.7% 10.0% 14.2% 17.2% 16.8%
Charlotte Shaw 7.0% 6.8% 8.2% 9.2% 9.8% 9.8% 12.2% 13.0% 14.1% 10.1%
Taylor Whiteman 2.0% 2.4% 3.9% 4.2% 5.1% 5.8% 7.5% 9.7% 15.8% 43.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.