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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University-0.57+3.41vs Predicted
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2American University-0.66+2.74vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.25+0.33vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-0.67+0.72vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.97+0.49vs Predicted
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6Unknown School-1.13-0.14vs Predicted
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7St. John's College-1.08-1.29vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-2.090.00vs Predicted
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9Drexel University-1.17-2.89vs Predicted
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10Rutgers University-1.39-3.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.41Princeton University-0.5713.2%1st Place
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4.74American University-0.6612.9%1st Place
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3.33Virginia Tech-0.2523.4%1st Place
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4.72University of Maryland-0.6713.2%1st Place
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5.49Princeton University-0.978.5%1st Place
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5.86Unknown School-1.137.3%1st Place
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5.71St. John's College-1.087.5%1st Place
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8.0University of Delaware-2.093.0%1st Place
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6.11Drexel University-1.176.6%1st Place
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6.64Rutgers University-1.394.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
William Roberts | 13.2% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
James Cottage | 12.9% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
Malik Deslauriers | 23.4% | 21.4% | 15.4% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
Charlie Bullock | 13.2% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 1.9% |
Evelyn Walsh | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 6.5% |
Conner Sciullo | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 8.8% |
Henry Stockman | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 6.5% |
Taylor Whiteman | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 16.9% | 43.4% |
Charlotte Shaw | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 11.4% |
Kate Faranetta | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 16.9% | 16.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.