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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University5.58+0.16vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.78+1.38vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.07+0.26vs Predicted
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5Brandeis University0.79+1.13vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire0.61+0.37vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.55-4.46vs Predicted
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9Bentley University0.12-1.76vs Predicted
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10Amherst College-0.58-2.03vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.58-6.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.16Tufts University5.580.9%1st Place
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3.38Tufts University2.780.0%1st Place
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4.26Harvard University2.070.0%1st Place
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6.13Brandeis University0.790.0%1st Place
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6.37University of New Hampshire0.610.0%1st Place
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3.54Boston University2.550.0%1st Place
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7.24Bentley University0.120.0%1st Place
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7.97Amherst College-0.580.0%1st Place
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4.95Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forrest Hardy -- BRANDEIS | 85.8% | 12.6% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Loy | 3.6% | 28.7% | 26.8% | 19.1% | 14.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Gordon | 2.9% | 13.6% | 20.2% | 19.0% | 19.6% | 14.2% | 7.8% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Helaine Meyer | 0.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 21.6% | 21.3% | 18.8% | 7.0% |
| Connor Roelke | 0.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 16.0% | 20.9% | 21.7% | 11.6% |
| Conor Fowler | 3.8% | 24.3% | 26.2% | 20.6% | 13.9% | 7.7% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Francisco Salas | 0.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 11.0% | 20.3% | 29.9% | 24.7% |
| Eliza Ali | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 6.0% | 10.9% | 19.7% | 55.1% |
| Andrew Morgan | 2.1% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 15.8% | 21.7% | 18.6% | 13.1% | 6.9% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.