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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.51+5.44vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.91+3.06vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.18+4.57vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.23+3.52vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.55+1.47vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.52+0.51vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.45-0.31vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.81+1.00vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College3.24-1.64vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.70-0.54vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.13-3.11vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-1.09vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University3.36-5.67vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.30-3.33vs Predicted
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15Columbia University2.13-3.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.44University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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5.06Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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7.57University of Rhode Island3.180.1%1st Place
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7.52Yale University3.230.1%1st Place
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6.47Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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6.51Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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6.69Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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9.0Dartmouth College2.810.0%1st Place
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7.36Eckerd College3.240.1%1st Place
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9.46Harvard University2.700.0%1st Place
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7.89Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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10.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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7.33Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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10.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.300.0%1st Place
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11.13Columbia University2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OJ O'Connell | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% |
| William Bowman | 14.9% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Alex Whipple | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| Rob Struckett | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 2.8% |
| IG Schottlaender | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Willem Sandberg | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 10.0% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Timothy Scanlon | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 6.8% |
| Wesley Byrne | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Luke O'Connor | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 9.3% |
| Trevor Burd | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.2% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 20.6% |
| Kyle Carney | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% |
| Tevis Nichols | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 15.6% | 18.6% |
| David Coplon | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 15.5% | 25.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.