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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.05+6.82vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.40+8.03vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+6.94vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.20+6.17vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.12+6.74vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+4.11vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.89+0.86vs Predicted
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8University of Miami2.32+2.77vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.90-0.36vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.42+1.36vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.78-0.04vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.60-2.35vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.42-5.28vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.85-4.98vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-4.95vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston2.49-6.26vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.71-2.93vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College0.88-1.24vs Predicted
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19Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-7.22vs Predicted
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20Tulane University2.04-8.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.82Harvard University3.058.4%1st Place
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10.03Roger Williams University2.405.2%1st Place
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9.94St. Mary's College of Maryland2.575.5%1st Place
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10.17Boston College2.205.5%1st Place
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11.74Tufts University2.123.0%1st Place
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10.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.485.5%1st Place
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7.86Stanford University2.898.0%1st Place
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10.77University of Miami2.324.0%1st Place
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8.64Dartmouth College2.907.2%1st Place
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11.36University of Pennsylvania2.424.2%1st Place
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10.96University of Rhode Island2.784.1%1st Place
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9.65U. S. Naval Academy2.605.2%1st Place
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7.72Yale University2.427.8%1st Place
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9.02Brown University2.855.8%1st Place
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10.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.315.3%1st Place
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9.74College of Charleston2.495.3%1st Place
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14.07Northeastern University1.711.7%1st Place
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16.76Connecticut College0.880.9%1st Place
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11.78Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.163.5%1st Place
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11.8Tulane University2.043.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlain McGranahan | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.6% |
| Trevor Davis | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Reade Decker | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Atlee Kohl | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
| Robert Bragg | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Jordan Bruce | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.6% |
| Nathan Smith | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Carmen Cowles | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Connor Nelson | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Noah Zittrer | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Will Priebe | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 13.0% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 12.5% | 46.5% |
| Will Murray | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 5.2% |
| Thad Lettsome | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.