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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.13+6.79vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.51+4.34vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.18+4.58vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.55+2.36vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.91+0.32vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.45+0.72vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University3.36-0.01vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.23-0.49vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.30+1.70vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.81-0.92vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.70-1.60vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.52-5.31vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College3.24-5.23vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-3.41vs Predicted
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15Columbia University2.13-3.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.79Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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6.34University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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7.58University of Rhode Island3.180.1%1st Place
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6.36Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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5.32Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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6.72Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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6.99Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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7.51Yale University3.230.1%1st Place
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10.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.300.0%1st Place
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9.08Dartmouth College2.810.0%1st Place
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9.4Harvard University2.700.0%1st Place
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6.69Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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7.77Eckerd College3.240.1%1st Place
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10.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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11.15Columbia University2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Burd | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% |
| OJ O'Connell | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Alex Whipple | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 2.0% |
| IG Schottlaender | 10.6% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
| William Bowman | 13.5% | 14.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Rob Struckett | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.8% |
| Tevis Nichols | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 14.6% | 18.4% |
| Timothy Scanlon | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.7% |
| Luke O'Connor | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 11.0% |
| Willem Sandberg | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Wesley Byrne | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 18.2% |
| David Coplon | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 15.4% | 26.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.