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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.05+6.92vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.42+9.37vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.90+5.55vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.78+7.01vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.12+6.83vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.60+3.84vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.04+5.08vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+2.17vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.89-1.23vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.42-2.30vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-0.89vs Predicted
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12University of Miami2.32-1.22vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.20-2.61vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-2.19vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.49-5.40vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.71-2.32vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.43-0.08vs Predicted
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18Brown University2.85-9.19vs Predicted
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19Roger Williams University2.40-9.14vs Predicted
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20St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-10.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.92Harvard University3.058.7%1st Place
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11.37University of Pennsylvania2.423.5%1st Place
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8.55Dartmouth College2.906.7%1st Place
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11.01University of Rhode Island2.784.2%1st Place
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11.83Tufts University2.123.2%1st Place
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9.84U. S. Naval Academy2.605.8%1st Place
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12.08Tulane University2.043.5%1st Place
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10.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.314.3%1st Place
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7.77Stanford University2.898.2%1st Place
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7.7Yale University2.429.2%1st Place
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10.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.485.5%1st Place
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10.78University of Miami2.323.9%1st Place
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10.39Boston College2.204.3%1st Place
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11.81Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.163.2%1st Place
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9.6College of Charleston2.495.1%1st Place
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13.68Northeastern University1.711.9%1st Place
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16.92Connecticut College0.431.1%1st Place
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8.81Brown University2.856.5%1st Place
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9.86Roger Williams University2.405.6%1st Place
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9.8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.575.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lachlain McGranahan | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
Jordan Bruce | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% |
Robert Bragg | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
Kerem Erkmen | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 3.5% |
Trevor Davis | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 5.2% |
Nathan Smith | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
Thad Lettsome | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% |
Sam Bruce | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
Reade Decker | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
Carmen Cowles | 9.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
Colman Schofield | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
Atlee Kohl | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
Michael Kirkman | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% |
Will Murray | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 4.5% |
Noah Zittrer | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
Will Priebe | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 14.2% | 12.7% |
Andrew Powers | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 12.5% | 48.4% |
Connor Nelson | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
Kyle Pfrang | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
Owen Hennessey | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.