← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Lachlain McGranahan 8.7% 7.8% 7.4% 7.5% 6.4% 6.2% 7.6% 6.3% 5.8% 5.9% 5.4% 4.5% 4.1% 3.4% 3.1% 3.1% 2.6% 2.5% 1.2% 0.3%
Jordan Bruce 3.5% 4.3% 3.4% 3.8% 5.2% 3.8% 4.9% 4.9% 4.4% 4.9% 4.8% 5.1% 5.1% 5.3% 6.8% 6.9% 6.2% 6.3% 6.2% 4.3%
Robert Bragg 6.7% 7.7% 6.8% 6.4% 6.3% 5.9% 5.7% 6.3% 6.3% 5.9% 5.3% 5.3% 5.0% 5.1% 4.7% 2.9% 3.3% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5%
Kerem Erkmen 4.2% 4.7% 4.6% 4.5% 4.2% 4.2% 5.1% 4.8% 4.5% 5.1% 5.5% 4.2% 5.2% 5.1% 5.8% 5.8% 6.3% 6.2% 6.8% 3.5%
Trevor Davis 3.2% 3.5% 3.7% 4.0% 3.9% 4.0% 4.4% 4.7% 4.3% 4.8% 4.9% 4.7% 5.2% 5.7% 5.4% 5.9% 7.0% 7.2% 8.6% 5.2%
Nathan Smith 5.8% 5.1% 4.8% 5.9% 5.2% 5.5% 5.2% 5.7% 5.5% 4.9% 5.1% 6.6% 4.5% 5.3% 5.8% 5.8% 4.3% 4.2% 3.4% 1.5%
Thad Lettsome 3.5% 3.2% 3.7% 3.9% 3.4% 4.0% 3.6% 4.0% 4.6% 4.2% 3.5% 5.0% 5.5% 5.9% 5.1% 7.1% 7.0% 9.0% 7.8% 5.8%
Sam Bruce 4.3% 4.4% 5.7% 4.8% 4.7% 4.8% 5.3% 6.2% 5.5% 6.4% 6.1% 4.8% 5.9% 5.9% 5.0% 5.5% 4.9% 4.6% 4.0% 1.5%
Reade Decker 8.2% 8.3% 7.0% 7.4% 7.8% 6.8% 7.1% 7.3% 5.0% 4.6% 5.4% 5.1% 5.2% 4.2% 3.6% 2.1% 2.5% 1.4% 0.7% 0.4%
Carmen Cowles 9.2% 6.8% 8.5% 7.6% 7.3% 7.8% 5.7% 5.9% 6.2% 5.2% 5.0% 5.5% 4.5% 3.8% 3.2% 3.0% 2.3% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3%
Colman Schofield 5.5% 4.8% 5.5% 5.5% 5.3% 5.5% 4.7% 4.7% 5.2% 5.4% 5.5% 5.2% 4.4% 4.9% 5.7% 5.2% 5.9% 4.6% 5.0% 1.7%
Atlee Kohl 3.9% 4.5% 4.2% 4.3% 4.2% 5.1% 5.8% 3.8% 5.9% 5.3% 5.6% 5.2% 5.0% 6.2% 6.1% 5.7% 6.7% 6.0% 4.2% 2.3%
Michael Kirkman 4.3% 5.1% 4.8% 5.1% 5.0% 5.3% 4.7% 5.1% 5.5% 4.0% 5.1% 5.5% 5.8% 6.0% 6.2% 5.1% 5.7% 5.5% 3.9% 2.2%
Will Murray 3.2% 3.1% 3.6% 4.2% 3.2% 4.3% 4.1% 4.2% 4.6% 4.9% 5.4% 6.0% 5.5% 5.5% 5.2% 5.7% 6.2% 8.0% 8.4% 4.5%
Noah Zittrer 5.1% 6.1% 5.3% 4.2% 5.8% 6.9% 6.2% 5.8% 5.2% 5.7% 5.1% 5.2% 6.3% 4.5% 4.9% 5.5% 4.2% 3.6% 3.0% 1.4%
Will Priebe 1.9% 2.6% 3.1% 2.4% 2.6% 3.3% 2.8% 2.6% 3.5% 3.2% 3.6% 4.0% 4.1% 5.5% 5.2% 6.3% 7.3% 8.8% 14.2% 12.7%
Andrew Powers 1.1% 1.2% 0.7% 1.4% 0.9% 0.9% 1.1% 1.2% 1.4% 2.0% 2.3% 1.9% 3.1% 2.8% 3.2% 3.3% 4.7% 5.9% 12.5% 48.4%
Connor Nelson 6.5% 6.4% 6.9% 7.0% 7.1% 5.8% 5.7% 5.4% 5.5% 5.1% 5.3% 5.7% 4.8% 4.3% 4.7% 4.8% 3.5% 2.9% 1.9% 0.9%
Kyle Pfrang 5.6% 5.0% 5.2% 5.0% 6.5% 5.2% 5.2% 5.3% 5.1% 6.2% 5.2% 5.0% 5.3% 5.2% 4.9% 5.5% 5.0% 5.0% 3.4% 1.3%
Owen Hennessey 5.5% 5.4% 5.2% 5.1% 5.0% 5.0% 5.1% 5.9% 5.7% 6.2% 5.8% 5.5% 5.4% 5.8% 5.5% 5.0% 4.5% 4.3% 2.8% 1.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.