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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.90+7.69vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.05+6.00vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.85+5.81vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+5.77vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.42+6.61vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.12+5.66vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.89+1.06vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.49+1.66vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+0.96vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.20+0.18vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.04+0.95vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-1.87vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.78-2.00vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.60-4.14vs Predicted
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15Yale University2.42-7.53vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-4.14vs Predicted
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17University of Miami2.32-6.29vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College0.43-1.11vs Predicted
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19Roger Williams University2.40-9.22vs Predicted
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20Northeastern University1.71-6.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.69Dartmouth College2.905.8%1st Place
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8.0Harvard University3.058.8%1st Place
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8.81Brown University2.856.7%1st Place
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9.77St. Mary's College of Maryland2.575.9%1st Place
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11.61University of Pennsylvania2.423.3%1st Place
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11.66Tufts University2.123.7%1st Place
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8.06Stanford University2.897.7%1st Place
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9.66College of Charleston2.495.1%1st Place
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9.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.484.9%1st Place
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10.18Boston College2.204.8%1st Place
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11.95Tulane University2.043.4%1st Place
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10.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.314.5%1st Place
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11.0University of Rhode Island2.785.1%1st Place
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9.86U. S. Naval Academy2.604.6%1st Place
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7.47Yale University2.429.3%1st Place
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11.86Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.163.0%1st Place
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10.71University of Miami2.324.7%1st Place
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16.89Connecticut College0.431.2%1st Place
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9.78Roger Williams University2.405.5%1st Place
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13.95Northeastern University1.712.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Connor Nelson | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Jordan Bruce | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.1% |
| Trevor Davis | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.1% |
| Reade Decker | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Noah Zittrer | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Colman Schofield | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Michael Kirkman | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Thad Lettsome | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 5.9% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 3.7% |
| Nathan Smith | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Carmen Cowles | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Will Murray | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 5.1% |
| Atlee Kohl | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 2.9% |
| Andrew Powers | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 13.0% | 47.4% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Will Priebe | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 11.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.