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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.52+5.38vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.55+4.21vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University3.36+3.93vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.13+3.86vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.18+2.74vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.30+4.73vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.91-1.79vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.51-1.41vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.81-0.11vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.23-2.38vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-0.33vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.45-5.03vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.70-3.38vs Predicted
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14Columbia University2.13-2.82vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College3.24-7.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.38Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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6.21Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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6.93Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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7.86Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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7.74University of Rhode Island3.180.1%1st Place
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10.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.300.0%1st Place
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5.21Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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6.59University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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8.89Dartmouth College2.810.0%1st Place
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7.62Yale University3.230.1%1st Place
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10.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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6.97Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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9.62Harvard University2.700.0%1st Place
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11.18Columbia University2.130.0%1st Place
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7.41Eckerd College3.240.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willem Sandberg | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% |
| IG Schottlaender | 9.6% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Kyle Carney | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Trevor Burd | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.1% |
| Alex Whipple | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.6% |
| Tevis Nichols | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 16.0% | 18.3% |
| William Bowman | 13.8% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| OJ O'Connell | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Timothy Scanlon | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 6.6% |
| Rob Struckett | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 2.8% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 20.8% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Luke O'Connor | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 10.3% |
| David Coplon | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 12.3% | 15.5% | 25.2% |
| Wesley Byrne | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.