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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.51+5.45vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.45+4.55vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.18+4.60vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+6.60vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University3.36+2.15vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.13+1.90vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.91-1.78vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.81+0.98vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.55-2.68vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.23-2.39vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College3.24-3.53vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.52-5.27vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.30-2.11vs Predicted
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14Columbia University2.13-2.85vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.70-5.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.45University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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6.55Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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7.6University of Rhode Island3.180.1%1st Place
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10.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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7.15Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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7.9Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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5.22Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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8.98Dartmouth College2.810.0%1st Place
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6.32Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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7.61Yale University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.47Eckerd College3.240.1%1st Place
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6.73Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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10.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.300.0%1st Place
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11.15Columbia University2.130.0%1st Place
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9.37Harvard University2.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OJ O'Connell | 9.5% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Alex Whipple | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 2.3% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 20.5% |
| Kyle Carney | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Trevor Burd | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% |
| William Bowman | 14.8% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Timothy Scanlon | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 6.2% |
| IG Schottlaender | 9.1% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Rob Struckett | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 2.5% |
| Wesley Byrne | 6.4% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.7% |
| Willem Sandberg | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Tevis Nichols | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 21.8% |
| David Coplon | 2.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 15.0% | 24.7% |
| Luke O'Connor | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.