← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University3.05+6.75vs Predicted
-
2Brown University2.85+6.77vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+6.97vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy2.60+5.65vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+4.75vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+4.31vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College2.90+1.67vs Predicted
-
8Stanford University2.89-0.19vs Predicted
-
9University of Rhode Island2.78+2.01vs Predicted
-
10College of Charleston2.49-0.37vs Predicted
-
11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+0.77vs Predicted
-
12University of Pennsylvania2.42-0.51vs Predicted
-
13Roger Williams University2.40-3.21vs Predicted
-
14Yale University2.42-6.39vs Predicted
-
15Tulane University2.04-3.35vs Predicted
-
16University of Miami2.32-5.31vs Predicted
-
17Boston College2.20-6.67vs Predicted
-
18Connecticut College0.88-1.35vs Predicted
-
19Tufts University2.12-7.09vs Predicted
-
20Northeastern University1.39-5.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.75Harvard University3.057.6%1st Place
-
8.77Brown University2.856.6%1st Place
-
9.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.486.0%1st Place
-
9.65U. S. Naval Academy2.605.2%1st Place
-
9.75St. Mary's College of Maryland2.575.2%1st Place
-
10.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.314.5%1st Place
-
8.67Dartmouth College2.906.3%1st Place
-
7.81Stanford University2.898.3%1st Place
-
11.01University of Rhode Island2.784.0%1st Place
-
9.63College of Charleston2.495.9%1st Place
-
11.77Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.163.4%1st Place
-
11.49University of Pennsylvania2.423.6%1st Place
-
9.79Roger Williams University2.405.2%1st Place
-
7.61Yale University2.429.5%1st Place
-
11.65Tulane University2.043.6%1st Place
-
10.69University of Miami2.324.9%1st Place
-
10.33Boston College2.204.3%1st Place
-
16.65Connecticut College0.880.9%1st Place
-
11.91Tufts University2.122.8%1st Place
-
14.78Northeastern University1.392.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlain McGranahan | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Connor Nelson | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Nathan Smith | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| Robert Bragg | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Reade Decker | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% |
| Noah Zittrer | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Will Murray | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% |
| Jordan Bruce | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 3.4% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Carmen Cowles | 9.5% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Thad Lettsome | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.2% |
| Atlee Kohl | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.7% |
| Michael Kirkman | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 14.3% | 43.1% |
| Trevor Davis | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.1% |
| Everett Nash | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 17.4% | 19.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.