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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.91+4.14vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+8.45vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.51+3.41vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.55+2.39vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College3.24+2.57vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University3.36+1.05vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.13+0.84vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.81+1.01vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.18-1.41vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.30+0.79vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.70-1.56vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.45-5.07vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.23-5.19vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.52-7.60vs Predicted
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15Columbia University2.13-3.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.14Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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10.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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6.41University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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6.39Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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7.57Eckerd College3.240.1%1st Place
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7.05Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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7.84Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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9.01Dartmouth College2.810.0%1st Place
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7.59University of Rhode Island3.180.1%1st Place
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10.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.300.0%1st Place
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9.44Harvard University2.700.0%1st Place
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6.93Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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7.81Yale University3.230.1%1st Place
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6.4Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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11.18Columbia University2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Bowman | 13.8% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 18.5% |
| OJ O'Connell | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| IG Schottlaender | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Wesley Byrne | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 9.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Trevor Burd | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 3.8% |
| Timothy Scanlon | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 7.1% |
| Alex Whipple | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Tevis Nichols | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 20.3% |
| Luke O'Connor | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.8% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Rob Struckett | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.3% |
| Willem Sandberg | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| David Coplon | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 17.1% | 25.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.