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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.51+5.49vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.18+5.54vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.91+2.14vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College3.24+3.44vs Predicted
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5Columbia University2.13+6.13vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.55+0.36vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.13+0.87vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.45-1.24vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University3.36-2.03vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.23-2.34vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.81-1.96vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.52-5.28vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-2.15vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.30-3.32vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.70-5.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.49University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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7.54University of Rhode Island3.180.1%1st Place
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5.14Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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7.44Eckerd College3.240.1%1st Place
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11.13Columbia University2.130.0%1st Place
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6.36Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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7.87Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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6.76Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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6.97Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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7.66Yale University3.230.1%1st Place
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9.04Dartmouth College2.810.0%1st Place
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6.72Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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10.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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10.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.300.0%1st Place
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9.36Harvard University2.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OJ O'Connell | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% |
| Alex Whipple | 6.0% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 2.8% |
| William Bowman | 13.7% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Wesley Byrne | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 2.4% |
| David Coplon | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 16.1% | 26.1% |
| IG Schottlaender | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Trevor Burd | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.0% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Kyle Carney | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Rob Struckett | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% |
| Timothy Scanlon | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% |
| Willem Sandberg | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 16.0% | 20.5% |
| Tevis Nichols | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 19.6% |
| Luke O'Connor | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 8.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.