← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University3.05+6.85vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College2.90+6.49vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University2.40+6.91vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston2.49+5.78vs Predicted
-
5University of Pennsylvania2.42+6.37vs Predicted
-
6Tulane University2.04+5.96vs Predicted
-
7University of Miami2.32+4.01vs Predicted
-
8Boston College2.20+2.23vs Predicted
-
9Stanford University2.89-1.20vs Predicted
-
10Brown University2.85-1.27vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-0.95vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Naval Academy2.60-2.45vs Predicted
-
13University of Rhode Island2.78-2.06vs Predicted
-
14Yale University2.42-6.46vs Predicted
-
15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-5.32vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-5.89vs Predicted
-
17Tufts University2.12-5.28vs Predicted
-
18Northeastern University1.39-3.22vs Predicted
-
19Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-7.28vs Predicted
-
20Connecticut College0.88-3.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.85Harvard University3.057.5%1st Place
-
8.49Dartmouth College2.907.5%1st Place
-
9.91Roger Williams University2.405.1%1st Place
-
9.78College of Charleston2.495.7%1st Place
-
11.37University of Pennsylvania2.423.6%1st Place
-
11.96Tulane University2.043.0%1st Place
-
11.01University of Miami2.323.6%1st Place
-
10.23Boston College2.204.7%1st Place
-
7.8Stanford University2.898.5%1st Place
-
8.73Brown University2.856.4%1st Place
-
10.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.314.8%1st Place
-
9.55U. S. Naval Academy2.605.5%1st Place
-
10.94University of Rhode Island2.784.1%1st Place
-
7.54Yale University2.429.7%1st Place
-
9.68St. Mary's College of Maryland2.575.7%1st Place
-
10.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.485.5%1st Place
-
11.72Tufts University2.123.8%1st Place
-
14.78Northeastern University1.391.5%1st Place
-
11.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.163.5%1st Place
-
16.78Connecticut College0.880.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlain McGranahan | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Robert Bragg | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Noah Zittrer | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Jordan Bruce | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 3.6% |
| Thad Lettsome | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% |
| Atlee Kohl | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
| Michael Kirkman | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Reade Decker | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Connor Nelson | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Nathan Smith | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.2% |
| Carmen Cowles | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Trevor Davis | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 4.4% |
| Everett Nash | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 16.2% | 19.4% |
| Will Murray | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 42.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.