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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College3.24+6.37vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.51+4.31vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.13+4.78vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.81+4.99vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.55+1.46vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.23+1.50vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.91-1.86vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University3.36-0.96vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+1.66vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.18-2.25vs Predicted
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11Columbia University2.13+0.23vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.52-5.27vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.45-5.92vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.70-4.70vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.30-4.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.37Eckerd College3.240.1%1st Place
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6.31University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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7.78Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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8.99Dartmouth College2.810.0%1st Place
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6.46Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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7.5Yale University3.230.1%1st Place
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5.14Boston College3.910.2%1st Place
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7.04Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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10.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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7.75University of Rhode Island3.180.1%1st Place
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11.23Columbia University2.130.0%1st Place
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6.73Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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7.08Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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9.3Harvard University2.700.0%1st Place
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10.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Byrne | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.0% |
| OJ O'Connell | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Trevor Burd | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 2.7% |
| Timothy Scanlon | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 7.4% |
| IG Schottlaender | 9.4% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Rob Struckett | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% |
| William Bowman | 15.1% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Kyle Carney | 7.7% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 17.9% |
| Alex Whipple | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% |
| David Coplon | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 14.6% | 27.8% |
| Willem Sandberg | 9.0% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% |
| Luke O'Connor | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 8.2% |
| Tevis Nichols | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 15.8% | 19.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.