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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.13+6.80vs Predicted
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2Columbia University2.13+9.09vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.81+5.99vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.18+3.68vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.91+0.33vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.30+4.79vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.23+0.52vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.51-1.46vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.52-2.60vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College3.24-2.39vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University3.36-3.91vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.45-4.98vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.55-6.33vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-3.94vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.70-5.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.8Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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11.09Columbia University2.130.0%1st Place
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8.99Dartmouth College2.810.0%1st Place
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7.68University of Rhode Island3.180.1%1st Place
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5.33Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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10.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.300.0%1st Place
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7.52Yale University3.230.1%1st Place
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6.54University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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6.4Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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7.61Eckerd College3.240.1%1st Place
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7.09Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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7.02Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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6.67Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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10.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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9.4Harvard University2.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Burd | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.0% |
| David Coplon | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 14.4% | 26.2% |
| Timothy Scanlon | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 6.6% |
| Alex Whipple | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% |
| William Bowman | 14.2% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Tevis Nichols | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 21.1% |
| Rob Struckett | 8.1% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.5% |
| OJ O'Connell | 9.4% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Willem Sandberg | 8.4% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Wesley Byrne | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 7.1% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| IG Schottlaender | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Lauren Cefali | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 14.3% |
| Luke O'Connor | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 10.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.