← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University2.40+8.92vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+7.80vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+6.91vs Predicted
-
4Brown University2.85+4.81vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island2.78+6.12vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University3.05+1.95vs Predicted
-
7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+4.85vs Predicted
-
8College of Charleston2.49+1.58vs Predicted
-
9University of Pennsylvania2.42+2.16vs Predicted
-
10Stanford University2.89-2.04vs Predicted
-
11Boston College2.20-0.44vs Predicted
-
12Dartmouth College2.90-3.31vs Predicted
-
13Tulane University2.06-1.59vs Predicted
-
14University of Miami2.32-3.01vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Naval Academy2.60-4.92vs Predicted
-
16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-5.88vs Predicted
-
17Northeastern University1.71-3.04vs Predicted
-
18Connecticut College0.43-1.21vs Predicted
-
19Tufts University2.12-7.28vs Predicted
-
20Yale University2.42-12.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.92Roger Williams University2.406.2%1st Place
-
9.8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.576.2%1st Place
-
9.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.485.2%1st Place
-
8.81Brown University2.856.6%1st Place
-
11.12University of Rhode Island2.783.2%1st Place
-
7.95Harvard University3.058.5%1st Place
-
11.85Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.162.9%1st Place
-
9.58College of Charleston2.495.7%1st Place
-
11.16University of Pennsylvania2.424.0%1st Place
-
7.96Stanford University2.897.8%1st Place
-
10.56Boston College2.204.2%1st Place
-
8.69Dartmouth College2.906.4%1st Place
-
11.41Tulane University2.064.9%1st Place
-
10.99University of Miami2.324.0%1st Place
-
10.08U. S. Naval Academy2.604.8%1st Place
-
10.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.314.5%1st Place
-
13.96Northeastern University1.711.9%1st Place
-
16.79Connecticut College0.430.8%1st Place
-
11.72Tufts University2.123.6%1st Place
-
7.62Yale University2.428.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Pfrang | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Owen Hennessey | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Connor Nelson | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Will Murray | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 4.5% |
| Noah Zittrer | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Jordan Bruce | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.4% |
| Reade Decker | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Michael Kirkman | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.3% |
| Robert Bragg | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Zander King | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% |
| Atlee Kohl | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| Nathan Smith | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Will Priebe | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 14.9% | 13.1% |
| Andrew Powers | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 12.3% | 47.0% |
| Trevor Davis | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.7% |
| Carmen Cowles | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.