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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.05+6.89vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+7.89vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.89+4.83vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.42+3.47vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.20+5.21vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+3.91vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+2.98vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.42+3.59vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.85-0.13vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.78+1.08vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.90-2.17vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-0.13vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.71+0.89vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.12-2.23vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.40-4.96vs Predicted
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16Tulane University2.06-4.23vs Predicted
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17University of Miami2.32-6.04vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College0.43-1.17vs Predicted
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19U. S. Naval Academy2.60-9.18vs Predicted
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20College of Charleston2.49-10.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.89Harvard University3.058.5%1st Place
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9.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.484.9%1st Place
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7.83Stanford University2.898.3%1st Place
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7.47Yale University2.428.5%1st Place
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10.21Boston College2.205.1%1st Place
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9.91St. Mary's College of Maryland2.574.8%1st Place
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9.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.315.3%1st Place
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11.59University of Pennsylvania2.422.9%1st Place
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8.87Brown University2.856.8%1st Place
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11.08University of Rhode Island2.783.5%1st Place
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8.83Dartmouth College2.906.7%1st Place
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11.87Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.163.4%1st Place
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13.89Northeastern University1.712.5%1st Place
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11.77Tufts University2.124.2%1st Place
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10.04Roger Williams University2.405.1%1st Place
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11.77Tulane University2.063.9%1st Place
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10.96University of Miami2.324.0%1st Place
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16.83Connecticut College0.430.4%1st Place
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9.82U. S. Naval Academy2.605.2%1st Place
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9.51College of Charleston2.496.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlain McGranahan | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Colman Schofield | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| Reade Decker | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Carmen Cowles | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Owen Hennessey | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Jordan Bruce | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.7% |
| Robert Bragg | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Will Murray | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% |
| Will Priebe | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 13.4% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 4.5% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Zander King | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 4.5% |
| Atlee Kohl | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 2.9% |
| Andrew Powers | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 11.6% | 48.3% |
| Nathan Smith | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Noah Zittrer | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.