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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.55+5.31vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.18+5.51vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College3.24+4.44vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.91+1.21vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.45+1.93vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.13+1.90vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.23+0.47vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.30+2.77vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.70+0.40vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University3.36-2.85vs Predicted
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11Columbia University2.13+0.30vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-1.62vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont3.51-6.18vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.52-7.53vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.81-6.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.31Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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7.51University of Rhode Island3.180.1%1st Place
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7.44Eckerd College3.240.1%1st Place
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5.21Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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6.93Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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7.9Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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7.47Yale University3.230.1%1st Place
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10.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.300.0%1st Place
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9.4Harvard University2.700.0%1st Place
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7.15Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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11.3Columbia University2.130.0%1st Place
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10.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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6.82University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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6.47Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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8.94Dartmouth College2.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IG Schottlaender | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Alex Whipple | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% |
| Wesley Byrne | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.4% |
| William Bowman | 13.9% | 13.8% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Trevor Burd | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 2.9% |
| Rob Struckett | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 2.6% |
| Tevis Nichols | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 15.0% | 21.4% |
| Luke O'Connor | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 7.2% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.3% |
| David Coplon | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 15.4% | 27.5% |
| Lauren Cefali | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 15.3% |
| OJ O'Connell | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% |
| Willem Sandberg | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Timothy Scanlon | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.