Race 11A

george-morris

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
IG Schottlaender 9.9% 9.5% 9.2% 9.6% 9.9% 7.6% 7.1% 6.8% 7.3% 5.3% 5.5% 5.1% 3.6% 1.5% 2.1%
Alex Whipple 5.7% 8.3% 6.8% 7.4% 7.8% 6.6% 7.1% 8.0% 7.3% 7.2% 7.1% 7.9% 4.8% 4.5% 3.5%
William Bowman 14.4% 12.5% 11.7% 9.9% 9.5% 9.6% 8.8% 6.9% 4.7% 4.6% 3.0% 1.8% 1.6% 0.9% 0.1%
Emily Dellenbaugh 9.2% 8.4% 8.2% 8.9% 8.8% 7.2% 6.7% 7.8% 6.9% 6.6% 6.6% 6.3% 3.7% 3.1% 1.6%
Timothy Scanlon 4.4% 5.5% 4.3% 4.5% 5.0% 5.4% 7.2% 6.2% 6.5% 5.0% 8.7% 9.4% 10.4% 9.4% 8.1%
Kyle Carney 8.5% 6.8% 7.0% 7.3% 8.3% 8.1% 8.1% 8.3% 8.2% 7.2% 7.3% 5.7% 4.1% 3.3% 1.8%
Wesley Byrne 8.0% 6.0% 7.1% 6.5% 6.8% 8.2% 8.3% 7.8% 7.0% 7.5% 7.5% 6.1% 5.7% 4.5% 3.0%
Lauren Cefali 3.4% 3.4% 3.5% 4.1% 3.3% 4.4% 4.4% 6.1% 5.3% 7.1% 7.1% 8.3% 11.9% 12.8% 14.9%
OJ O'Connell 8.1% 9.0% 7.8% 10.6% 9.4% 8.4% 7.9% 7.7% 7.0% 6.9% 5.9% 4.4% 4.3% 2.2% 0.4%
Luke O'Connor 3.8% 2.8% 4.6% 5.1% 4.9% 5.8% 5.4% 5.7% 6.0% 6.9% 7.5% 10.2% 10.2% 11.6% 9.5%
Willem Sandberg 8.4% 10.9% 9.9% 8.2% 7.3% 7.7% 7.2% 7.1% 6.5% 6.9% 5.0% 6.5% 4.3% 2.2% 1.9%
Rob Struckett 6.0% 5.5% 7.4% 7.4% 6.8% 6.4% 7.7% 6.6% 8.3% 8.0% 7.5% 7.2% 5.4% 6.3% 3.5%
Trevor Burd 5.2% 6.6% 5.7% 6.0% 6.0% 6.5% 6.2% 5.9% 9.0% 9.3% 7.4% 7.8% 8.0% 6.3% 4.1%
Tevis Nichols 2.9% 1.9% 3.8% 2.3% 3.0% 4.7% 4.9% 4.7% 5.5% 5.5% 6.8% 6.6% 12.7% 15.6% 19.1%
David Coplon 2.1% 2.9% 3.0% 2.2% 3.2% 3.4% 3.0% 4.4% 4.5% 6.0% 7.1% 6.7% 9.3% 15.8% 26.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.