Race 1B

george-morris

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Claire Dennis 11.2% 13.3% 13.0% 8.6% 9.0% 7.1% 8.4% 5.8% 5.9% 4.8% 4.3% 3.8% 1.9% 1.9% 1.0%
Conor Cashel 4.6% 4.8% 4.3% 5.3% 6.2% 6.5% 7.2% 6.5% 5.2% 6.9% 8.2% 6.9% 8.4% 10.1% 8.9%
Robert Lippincott 5.1% 3.7% 6.4% 4.6% 5.6% 5.8% 4.9% 5.8% 6.8% 6.7% 8.5% 7.7% 10.1% 9.1% 9.2%
Nate Jermain 11.3% 10.4% 10.6% 10.5% 8.4% 7.8% 7.7% 6.1% 7.0% 5.3% 5.4% 4.0% 2.2% 2.2% 1.1%
Robert Savoie 6.4% 6.0% 5.9% 5.2% 6.2% 6.8% 6.9% 5.1% 7.0% 7.9% 7.5% 7.8% 6.9% 7.9% 6.5%
Michael Saldi 6.8% 7.1% 5.9% 6.4% 7.2% 6.4% 6.9% 9.0% 7.4% 9.6% 6.7% 5.9% 6.1% 5.0% 3.6%
Jordan Bothwick 8.3% 5.7% 6.3% 8.5% 7.6% 5.9% 8.6% 7.2% 7.0% 7.2% 6.8% 5.3% 6.1% 5.5% 4.0%
Samuel Cushing 5.9% 5.6% 5.2% 6.4% 6.0% 5.3% 6.6% 6.4% 7.3% 7.3% 7.6% 7.4% 8.4% 7.0% 7.6%
Ben Lamont 3.5% 4.1% 3.9% 4.4% 6.1% 5.3% 6.5% 7.1% 6.2% 7.0% 7.7% 8.7% 9.3% 9.1% 11.1%
Drew Shea 6.6% 6.2% 8.8% 7.9% 6.8% 9.0% 6.8% 7.2% 8.8% 6.7% 6.0% 6.0% 5.3% 4.6% 3.3%
Bradley Brown 4.3% 5.5% 5.7% 5.1% 6.0% 6.9% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.4% 6.2% 7.8% 7.6% 9.7% 10.8%
Charles Proctor 5.1% 3.1% 4.5% 6.6% 7.4% 6.8% 5.6% 6.3% 6.3% 6.8% 8.2% 8.2% 7.8% 7.3% 10.0%
Martin McDonald 3.5% 4.1% 3.9% 5.1% 4.0% 4.4% 5.3% 6.3% 5.5% 4.9% 7.1% 9.3% 10.4% 11.1% 15.1%
Laura Dunphy 5.4% 5.5% 6.2% 6.0% 6.4% 6.9% 5.7% 6.8% 6.3% 8.4% 6.5% 8.2% 6.9% 8.1% 6.7%
Stephanie Hudson 12.0% 14.9% 9.4% 9.4% 7.1% 9.1% 6.9% 8.4% 7.3% 4.1% 3.3% 3.0% 2.6% 1.4% 1.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.