Race 2B

george-morris

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Drew Shea 8.6% 7.9% 7.2% 8.4% 7.3% 7.4% 7.3% 6.1% 6.9% 6.7% 6.1% 6.8% 4.9% 4.4% 4.0%
Samuel Cushing 4.4% 7.0% 5.8% 6.4% 6.9% 6.5% 7.3% 6.6% 6.2% 7.0% 7.2% 7.1% 7.4% 8.4% 5.8%
Claire Dennis 13.0% 11.0% 11.5% 10.4% 7.9% 8.4% 8.1% 7.3% 6.9% 4.8% 4.2% 2.0% 2.6% 1.4% 0.5%
Stephanie Hudson 12.3% 12.2% 10.5% 10.5% 9.9% 5.9% 7.7% 7.2% 5.8% 5.5% 4.6% 3.5% 1.9% 1.8% 0.7%
Michael Saldi 7.1% 7.0% 7.6% 5.4% 6.4% 7.4% 5.9% 7.3% 8.5% 6.4% 7.1% 7.7% 5.7% 5.1% 5.4%
Nate Jermain 10.6% 11.0% 9.2% 9.9% 9.6% 9.0% 8.1% 8.1% 5.8% 5.6% 4.4% 3.3% 2.4% 2.1% 0.9%
Ben Lamont 5.3% 4.5% 3.4% 5.1% 5.2% 5.2% 5.0% 6.1% 8.4% 6.5% 7.0% 8.7% 8.8% 9.4% 11.4%
Martin McDonald 4.4% 3.9% 4.0% 5.6% 4.2% 5.0% 4.8% 6.3% 5.6% 7.8% 6.9% 7.2% 10.1% 11.0% 13.2%
Charles Proctor 4.9% 5.2% 5.1% 5.1% 6.9% 6.9% 7.6% 6.6% 7.9% 6.5% 6.7% 7.9% 8.0% 7.8% 6.9%
Jordan Bothwick 6.4% 5.2% 8.7% 5.6% 9.4% 7.0% 5.7% 7.4% 8.5% 7.8% 6.1% 6.0% 7.1% 5.3% 3.8%
Laura Dunphy 4.5% 6.2% 6.8% 5.9% 5.9% 6.1% 7.2% 7.6% 5.1% 6.4% 7.8% 6.4% 7.7% 7.4% 9.0%
Robert Lippincott 4.1% 2.8% 4.6% 4.8% 6.2% 5.8% 5.5% 5.6% 7.0% 6.3% 7.7% 9.3% 7.7% 10.9% 11.7%
Bradley Brown 4.3% 4.9% 4.1% 5.8% 3.9% 6.5% 5.6% 6.0% 4.4% 8.7% 8.2% 10.2% 8.7% 8.5% 10.2%
Robert Savoie 5.3% 6.0% 6.1% 6.8% 5.6% 7.4% 7.2% 5.4% 6.9% 7.8% 8.7% 5.5% 8.2% 7.2% 5.9%
Conor Cashel 4.8% 5.2% 5.4% 4.3% 4.7% 5.5% 7.0% 6.4% 6.1% 6.2% 7.3% 8.4% 8.8% 9.3% 10.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.