Race 3B

george-morris

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Michael Saldi 7.9% 6.8% 7.2% 8.1% 6.0% 7.6% 7.1% 7.1% 7.1% 6.9% 5.8% 6.9% 5.4% 5.2% 4.9%
Claire Dennis 11.9% 14.5% 9.2% 10.4% 9.2% 8.8% 7.2% 7.0% 5.9% 3.8% 4.8% 3.2% 2.9% 0.8% 0.4%
Jordan Bothwick 6.7% 6.8% 8.5% 8.0% 6.7% 6.5% 6.6% 8.3% 6.5% 7.0% 6.4% 7.1% 5.8% 5.4% 3.7%
Samuel Cushing 5.3% 5.5% 5.3% 6.9% 7.2% 6.0% 5.9% 6.6% 7.4% 6.5% 6.8% 7.0% 8.9% 7.7% 7.0%
Nate Jermain 10.4% 11.7% 8.7% 9.1% 8.0% 8.7% 7.9% 7.5% 7.9% 5.4% 4.4% 3.5% 3.1% 2.3% 1.4%
Stephanie Hudson 12.1% 10.9% 9.7% 10.7% 8.7% 10.2% 8.6% 7.2% 5.7% 5.2% 3.5% 3.0% 2.4% 1.6% 0.5%
Charles Proctor 6.5% 4.8% 4.9% 5.9% 6.6% 4.6% 7.1% 7.4% 6.2% 8.2% 8.5% 7.0% 7.8% 8.0% 6.5%
Robert Savoie 6.2% 5.3% 6.9% 5.7% 5.6% 6.8% 6.2% 6.2% 8.1% 6.3% 7.9% 8.7% 6.9% 6.9% 6.3%
Martin McDonald 3.7% 3.7% 5.1% 2.8% 5.7% 5.8% 5.9% 6.1% 5.9% 7.4% 7.8% 7.9% 10.5% 9.2% 12.5%
Robert Lippincott 4.3% 3.1% 5.8% 4.8% 5.9% 5.3% 5.6% 7.0% 6.4% 6.7% 7.2% 8.3% 7.8% 10.3% 11.5%
Ben Lamont 3.8% 4.9% 5.7% 4.9% 4.8% 4.6% 7.2% 5.3% 5.5% 6.9% 6.4% 7.5% 8.5% 10.3% 13.7%
Bradley Brown 3.9% 4.0% 4.4% 5.1% 6.3% 5.4% 6.0% 4.8% 7.5% 8.3% 7.5% 7.9% 8.6% 10.0% 10.3%
Laura Dunphy 5.1% 5.8% 5.1% 4.2% 7.3% 5.5% 5.8% 6.4% 6.3% 8.1% 7.9% 9.0% 8.3% 6.9% 8.3%
Drew Shea 7.4% 7.0% 8.4% 8.5% 7.5% 7.3% 7.0% 7.6% 6.8% 7.1% 7.1% 5.5% 4.9% 4.5% 3.4%
Conor Cashel 4.8% 5.2% 5.1% 4.9% 4.5% 6.9% 5.9% 5.5% 6.8% 6.2% 8.0% 7.5% 8.2% 10.9% 9.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.