Race 4B

george-morris

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Nate Jermain 11.3% 11.4% 11.4% 9.4% 9.3% 7.6% 7.5% 6.2% 6.4% 4.6% 4.2% 4.6% 2.9% 2.0% 1.2%
Samuel Cushing 4.6% 6.7% 6.0% 6.4% 7.0% 7.1% 6.3% 6.0% 6.3% 7.8% 7.3% 8.0% 6.8% 7.1% 6.6%
Claire Dennis 12.8% 11.1% 12.3% 9.5% 7.7% 9.0% 8.1% 6.7% 7.2% 5.1% 3.3% 3.3% 1.9% 1.6% 0.4%
Michael Saldi 7.5% 6.7% 7.9% 5.4% 8.2% 7.5% 6.2% 7.4% 7.3% 6.1% 6.5% 5.8% 7.1% 6.4% 4.0%
Stephanie Hudson 11.4% 12.3% 8.7% 10.1% 8.2% 9.4% 8.7% 7.6% 5.9% 4.6% 4.2% 3.3% 2.6% 2.1% 0.9%
Jordan Bothwick 6.8% 7.0% 7.2% 5.3% 6.5% 7.7% 7.5% 8.9% 8.3% 6.5% 7.3% 6.6% 6.3% 4.7% 3.4%
Robert Lippincott 5.7% 4.2% 4.9% 4.4% 5.1% 5.6% 5.6% 6.3% 7.7% 6.8% 8.0% 8.1% 8.4% 9.9% 9.3%
Bradley Brown 5.1% 5.0% 4.5% 6.8% 5.4% 5.0% 6.0% 6.4% 6.0% 7.3% 7.2% 7.0% 9.5% 8.4% 10.4%
Robert Savoie 5.1% 5.5% 5.6% 7.4% 6.4% 7.5% 7.0% 6.8% 6.9% 8.5% 6.1% 8.2% 6.2% 6.2% 6.6%
Ben Lamont 4.6% 3.4% 3.9% 5.4% 4.9% 4.9% 6.3% 6.6% 5.8% 5.6% 8.9% 8.0% 9.8% 9.7% 12.2%
Martin McDonald 3.6% 4.5% 3.9% 5.5% 4.5% 5.1% 6.0% 6.1% 5.3% 6.8% 7.6% 7.2% 8.1% 10.8% 15.0%
Conor Cashel 4.2% 3.0% 4.3% 5.0% 6.1% 5.8% 5.1% 6.6% 6.5% 7.5% 6.8% 7.8% 10.0% 9.9% 11.4%
Charles Proctor 4.4% 5.6% 5.3% 4.4% 6.9% 5.2% 5.9% 6.3% 6.0% 8.0% 8.3% 8.3% 8.6% 8.4% 8.4%
Laura Dunphy 5.5% 5.2% 5.3% 8.2% 6.3% 5.2% 6.8% 6.2% 7.2% 6.6% 8.4% 6.7% 7.2% 8.1% 7.1%
Drew Shea 7.4% 8.4% 8.8% 6.8% 7.5% 7.4% 7.0% 5.9% 7.2% 8.2% 5.9% 7.1% 4.6% 4.7% 3.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.