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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.73+6.77vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+8.25vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.29+6.27vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.61+8.94vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.07+9.42vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.35+3.32vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.71+4.69vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+3.43vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.28+0.28vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.56+0.19vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.15-5.22vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.18-6.52vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.68-5.25vs Predicted
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14University of Miami1.93-1.79vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University1.49-1.63vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.38-6.70vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-5.24vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston2.38-8.63vs Predicted
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19Connecticut College0.71-2.86vs Predicted
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20St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62-7.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.77Brown University2.737.9%1st Place
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10.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.173.9%1st Place
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9.27Yale University2.295.6%1st Place
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12.94University of Rhode Island1.612.9%1st Place
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14.42Northeastern University1.071.5%1st Place
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9.32Tulane University2.354.7%1st Place
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11.69University of Pennsylvania1.714.0%1st Place
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11.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.933.6%1st Place
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9.28U. S. Naval Academy2.284.8%1st Place
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10.19Boston College2.564.5%1st Place
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5.78Stanford University3.1513.4%1st Place
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5.48Harvard University3.1813.1%1st Place
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7.75Roger Williams University2.688.2%1st Place
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12.21University of Miami1.932.5%1st Place
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13.37Northwestern University1.492.5%1st Place
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9.3Dartmouth College2.384.5%1st Place
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11.76Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.773.4%1st Place
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9.37College of Charleston2.385.5%1st Place
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16.14Connecticut College0.710.9%1st Place
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12.29St. Mary's College of Maryland1.622.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guthrie Braun | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Daniel Unangst | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Miles Williams | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.5% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 16.5% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Benjamin Honig | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% |
| Maks Groom | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% |
| Jack Welburn | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 13.4% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Justin Callahan | 13.1% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Dennis | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% |
| Shea Smith | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 9.9% |
| William Michels | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Wade Anthony | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 32.7% |
| Felix Cutler | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.