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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.78+7.15vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.49+7.12vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.41+2.87vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.51+1.66vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.94+2.79vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.05+1.27vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.50-1.28vs Predicted
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8Columbia University2.55+1.12vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73-0.59vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.70-1.35vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.96-3.37vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.43-2.19vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.72-4.21vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-5.12vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.54-5.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.15Eckerd College2.780.1%1st Place
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9.12Harvard University2.490.0%1st Place
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5.87University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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5.66Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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7.79Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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7.27Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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5.72Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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9.12Columbia University2.550.0%1st Place
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8.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.0%1st Place
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8.65Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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7.63Connecticut College2.960.1%1st Place
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9.81Dartmouth College2.430.0%1st Place
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8.79University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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8.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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9.14Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Savoie | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% |
| Ben Lamont | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 10.2% |
| Nate Jermain | 11.3% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 11.8% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Michael Saldi | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% |
| Drew Shea | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% |
| Claire Dennis | 13.0% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Conor Cashel | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 11.1% |
| Laura Dunphy | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% |
| Charles Proctor | 5.1% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% |
| Martin McDonald | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 15.5% |
| Samuel Cushing | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% |
| Bradley Brown | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.1% |
| Robert Lippincott | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.