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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.66+0.86vs Predicted
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2University of Chicago0.55+1.47vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota-0.33+1.91vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-1.85+3.58vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin0.04-0.71vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan-0.17-1.29vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-1.71+0.31vs Predicted
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8University of Saint Thomas-0.03-3.49vs Predicted
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9Saginaw Valley State University-3.47+0.41vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-1.47-3.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.86Northwestern University1.6650.1%1st Place
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3.47University of Chicago0.5514.4%1st Place
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4.91University of Minnesota-0.336.8%1st Place
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7.58Northwestern University-1.851.8%1st Place
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4.29University of Wisconsin0.048.2%1st Place
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4.71University of Michigan-0.177.3%1st Place
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7.31University of Michigan-1.712.1%1st Place
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4.51University of Saint Thomas-0.037.6%1st Place
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9.41Saginaw Valley State University-3.470.1%1st Place
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6.95Northwestern University-1.471.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaney Smith | 50.1% | 26.8% | 14.2% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Leavitt | 14.4% | 19.9% | 20.5% | 17.0% | 13.8% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Johansen | 6.8% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 14.9% | 14.5% | 16.0% | 14.0% | 8.9% | 3.4% | 0.2% |
| Sean Bascoe | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 12.8% | 21.3% | 31.8% | 11.1% |
| Penelope Whiteside | 8.2% | 12.8% | 16.5% | 16.6% | 17.0% | 14.5% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| John McCalmont | 7.3% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 16.4% | 17.0% | 11.5% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Beute | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 9.2% | 15.2% | 24.4% | 27.5% | 6.8% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 7.6% | 10.9% | 15.2% | 16.6% | 16.4% | 14.8% | 11.6% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Adam Bryan | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 11.2% | 75.3% |
| Marguerite Eno | 1.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 19.2% | 22.1% | 20.1% | 6.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.