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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.15+4.85vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+8.24vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+8.75vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.38+5.01vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.73+2.75vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.71+5.94vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.07+7.72vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.29+1.47vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.18-3.40vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.35-0.74vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.68-3.15vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-0.16vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.28-3.82vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62-1.68vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.61-2.26vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.56-6.01vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University1.49-3.32vs Predicted
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18University of Texas1.01-2.84vs Predicted
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19University of Miami1.93-6.81vs Predicted
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20Dartmouth College2.38-10.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.85Stanford University3.1513.0%1st Place
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10.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.174.3%1st Place
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11.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.774.0%1st Place
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9.01College of Charleston2.384.8%1st Place
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7.75Brown University2.737.5%1st Place
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11.94University of Pennsylvania1.712.8%1st Place
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14.72Northeastern University1.071.3%1st Place
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9.47Yale University2.295.7%1st Place
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5.6Harvard University3.1812.4%1st Place
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9.26Tulane University2.355.3%1st Place
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7.85Roger Williams University2.687.1%1st Place
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11.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.933.3%1st Place
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9.18U. S. Naval Academy2.286.5%1st Place
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12.32St. Mary's College of Maryland1.623.6%1st Place
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12.74University of Rhode Island1.612.1%1st Place
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9.99Boston College2.564.1%1st Place
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13.68Northwestern University1.492.1%1st Place
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15.16University of Texas1.012.1%1st Place
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12.19University of Miami1.933.1%1st Place
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9.46Dartmouth College2.385.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Sitzmann | 13.0% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Guthrie Braun | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin Honig | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 19.1% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Justin Callahan | 12.4% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Carlos de Castro | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Maks Groom | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% |
| Jack Welburn | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Felix Cutler | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% |
| Miles Williams | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Shea Smith | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 12.8% |
| Matias Martin | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 14.7% | 24.2% |
| Aidan Dennis | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.2% |
| William Michels | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.