Race 6B

george-morris

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Robert Savoie 7.1% 5.2% 6.5% 7.3% 5.5% 6.5% 7.3% 6.7% 7.4% 5.5% 6.4% 7.9% 7.1% 6.9% 6.7%
Nate Jermain 11.3% 12.9% 8.7% 10.5% 8.1% 9.4% 7.3% 7.1% 6.3% 5.0% 3.9% 4.0% 3.6% 1.2% 0.7%
Claire Dennis 12.1% 11.9% 10.5% 8.9% 10.0% 8.1% 6.8% 8.7% 6.3% 6.7% 3.5% 2.8% 1.9% 1.4% 0.4%
Drew Shea 7.4% 8.6% 6.7% 10.1% 6.4% 6.1% 7.4% 7.8% 8.1% 5.9% 6.4% 5.5% 6.1% 4.1% 3.4%
Charles Proctor 5.6% 6.1% 5.6% 4.4% 5.5% 6.0% 7.7% 5.5% 6.1% 6.8% 8.4% 8.5% 7.4% 8.2% 8.2%
Robert Lippincott 4.1% 4.8% 5.4% 4.6% 4.7% 5.1% 6.5% 5.7% 6.8% 6.5% 9.1% 8.5% 8.6% 10.7% 8.9%
Stephanie Hudson 13.1% 8.4% 11.9% 10.3% 10.8% 7.9% 8.2% 6.2% 5.8% 4.7% 4.8% 2.8% 2.8% 1.7% 0.6%
Jordan Bothwick 6.8% 6.6% 8.3% 7.2% 5.5% 7.6% 6.8% 7.2% 7.7% 6.5% 7.2% 5.9% 7.5% 4.4% 4.8%
Bradley Brown 4.3% 4.5% 5.1% 4.8% 7.2% 5.4% 5.8% 7.6% 7.6% 8.0% 7.7% 6.5% 8.4% 8.3% 8.8%
Laura Dunphy 4.9% 4.7% 5.6% 5.6% 7.6% 6.8% 6.2% 6.7% 6.6% 8.9% 6.9% 8.2% 6.4% 7.4% 7.5%
Michael Saldi 6.5% 7.5% 7.5% 7.1% 7.3% 6.9% 6.0% 7.9% 6.7% 6.9% 5.7% 6.5% 6.7% 6.3% 4.5%
Ben Lamont 3.7% 2.9% 3.2% 5.9% 4.8% 5.7% 5.4% 6.5% 6.0% 7.4% 6.8% 8.3% 10.3% 9.5% 13.6%
Conor Cashel 3.9% 4.9% 4.8% 4.3% 4.6% 6.3% 5.6% 4.8% 5.8% 7.4% 8.9% 9.0% 7.3% 10.7% 11.7%
Martin McDonald 4.0% 4.2% 4.7% 3.6% 5.9% 5.7% 5.8% 5.6% 6.3% 6.2% 7.0% 8.9% 8.2% 10.7% 13.2%
Samuel Cushing 5.2% 6.8% 5.5% 5.4% 6.1% 6.5% 7.2% 6.0% 6.5% 7.6% 7.3% 6.7% 7.7% 8.5% 7.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.