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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.72+7.02vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.41+3.62vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.70+5.26vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.51+1.48vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.78+3.05vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.43+3.29vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.54+1.72vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.50-2.44vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53+3.08vs Predicted
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10Columbia University2.55-1.09vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.94-3.51vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.96-4.37vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.49-3.66vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.62-5.48vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.05-7.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.02University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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5.62University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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8.26Tufts University2.700.0%1st Place
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5.48Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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8.05Eckerd College2.780.1%1st Place
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9.29Dartmouth College2.430.0%1st Place
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8.72Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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5.56Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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12.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.0%1st Place
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8.91Columbia University2.550.0%1st Place
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7.49Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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7.63Connecticut College2.960.1%1st Place
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9.34Harvard University2.490.0%1st Place
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8.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.620.0%1st Place
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7.02Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Cushing | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% |
| Nate Jermain | 11.3% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Charles Proctor | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 4.3% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 12.1% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Robert Savoie | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.1% |
| Martin McDonald | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 7.7% |
| Robert Lippincott | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% |
| Claire Dennis | 13.3% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% |
| Zachary Drach | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 15.2% | 38.5% |
| Conor Cashel | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 7.5% |
| Michael Saldi | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 6.4% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.2% |
| Ben Lamont | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 9.2% |
| Matthew Stroebel | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 5.6% |
| Drew Shea | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.