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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.49+7.90vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.41+3.61vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.72+5.13vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.50+1.53vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.78+3.09vs Predicted
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6Columbia University2.55+2.92vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.96+0.32vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.05-0.90vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.62-0.46vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.94-2.50vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.43-1.75vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.54-2.85vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53-0.80vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.70-5.72vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.51-9.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.9Harvard University2.490.1%1st Place
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5.61University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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8.13University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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5.53Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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8.09Eckerd College2.780.1%1st Place
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8.92Columbia University2.550.0%1st Place
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7.32Connecticut College2.960.1%1st Place
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7.1Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.620.0%1st Place
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7.5Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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9.25Dartmouth College2.430.0%1st Place
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9.15Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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12.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.0%1st Place
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8.28Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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5.48Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Lamont | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 7.4% |
| Nate Jermain | 11.0% | 13.7% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Cushing | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 3.0% |
| Claire Dennis | 12.3% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Robert Savoie | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 4.1% |
| Conor Cashel | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 5.9% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 8.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.2% |
| Drew Shea | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% |
| Matthew Stroebel | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% |
| Michael Saldi | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Martin McDonald | 3.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 10.1% |
| Robert Lippincott | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% |
| Zachary Drach | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 43.4% |
| Charles Proctor | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 12.4% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.