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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.61+11.89vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.15+3.85vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.29+6.40vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.68+3.61vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.38+4.17vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.71+6.05vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.28+2.41vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+2.30vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58+3.50vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.38-0.80vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.35-1.89vs Predicted
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12University of Miami1.93+0.13vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62-0.93vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.07+0.54vs Predicted
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15University of Texas1.01+0.22vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-4.23vs Predicted
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17Harvard University3.18-11.48vs Predicted
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18Brown University2.73-10.39vs Predicted
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19Boston College2.56-8.94vs Predicted
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20Northwestern University1.49-6.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.89University of Rhode Island1.612.5%1st Place
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5.85Stanford University3.1512.8%1st Place
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9.4Yale University2.295.3%1st Place
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7.61Roger Williams University2.688.2%1st Place
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9.17College of Charleston2.385.3%1st Place
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12.05University of Pennsylvania1.713.1%1st Place
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9.41U. S. Naval Academy2.285.7%1st Place
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10.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.173.5%1st Place
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12.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.582.9%1st Place
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9.2Dartmouth College2.384.9%1st Place
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9.11Tulane University2.355.8%1st Place
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12.13University of Miami1.932.5%1st Place
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12.07St. Mary's College of Maryland1.622.8%1st Place
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14.54Northeastern University1.071.4%1st Place
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15.22University of Texas1.010.8%1st Place
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11.77Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.773.2%1st Place
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5.52Harvard University3.1813.8%1st Place
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7.61Brown University2.738.0%1st Place
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10.06Boston College2.564.7%1st Place
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13.59Northwestern University1.492.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Williams | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 12.8% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Carlos de Castro | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Benjamin Honig | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.0% |
| Jack Welburn | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Daniel Unangst | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Robert Ulmer | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% |
| William Michels | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Aidan Dennis | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.2% |
| Felix Cutler | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 18.2% |
| Matias Martin | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 23.3% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% |
| Justin Callahan | 13.8% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Guthrie Braun | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Shea Smith | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 12.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.