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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53+10.82vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.94+5.24vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.70+5.24vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.05+3.05vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.51+0.60vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.50-0.50vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.49+1.97vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.41-2.19vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.78-1.05vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.62-1.31vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.43-1.69vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.72-3.53vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.96-5.35vs Predicted
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14Columbia University2.55-5.13vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.54-6.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.0%1st Place
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7.24Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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8.24Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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7.05Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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5.6Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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5.5Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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8.97Harvard University2.490.1%1st Place
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5.81University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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7.95Eckerd College2.780.1%1st Place
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8.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.620.0%1st Place
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9.31Dartmouth College2.430.0%1st Place
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8.47University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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7.65Connecticut College2.960.1%1st Place
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8.87Columbia University2.550.0%1st Place
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8.83Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Drach | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 39.1% |
| Michael Saldi | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 1.9% |
| Charles Proctor | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 4.1% |
| Drew Shea | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 1.6% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 12.9% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Claire Dennis | 12.2% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Ben Lamont | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% |
| Nate Jermain | 11.8% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Robert Savoie | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.3% |
| Matthew Stroebel | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 5.6% |
| Martin McDonald | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 11.5% |
| Samuel Cushing | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.6% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Conor Cashel | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% |
| Robert Lippincott | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.