Race 10B

george-morris

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Claire Dennis 12.4% 12.2% 13.0% 11.1% 7.9% 8.5% 8.1% 5.1% 6.3% 4.3% 3.8% 2.9% 2.1% 1.8% 0.5%
Charles Proctor 5.0% 6.6% 6.0% 6.9% 6.8% 6.9% 7.6% 6.6% 6.6% 6.1% 7.8% 7.9% 7.3% 7.4% 4.5%
Stephanie Hudson 13.6% 11.6% 10.6% 10.6% 9.3% 8.9% 7.0% 7.4% 7.7% 4.7% 3.3% 2.2% 1.6% 1.2% 0.3%
Nate Jermain 11.7% 11.3% 10.8% 10.4% 8.4% 7.3% 8.2% 7.2% 5.6% 5.9% 5.7% 3.1% 1.9% 2.1% 0.4%
Robert Lippincott 5.2% 4.8% 6.2% 4.7% 4.9% 5.8% 6.1% 5.9% 6.4% 7.1% 7.5% 9.6% 8.5% 9.7% 7.6%
Robert Savoie 5.9% 6.6% 5.6% 5.3% 7.1% 5.8% 8.3% 7.6% 8.1% 7.8% 7.6% 7.4% 7.1% 6.2% 3.6%
Matthew Stroebel 6.2% 5.1% 4.2% 6.1% 6.1% 7.3% 5.2% 7.8% 6.7% 7.6% 7.3% 7.9% 8.0% 8.3% 6.2%
Jordan Bothwick 7.2% 7.6% 7.4% 7.5% 6.6% 8.0% 7.0% 7.7% 7.7% 6.9% 7.3% 6.1% 5.5% 5.3% 2.2%
Martin McDonald 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 4.2% 6.0% 5.8% 7.7% 5.4% 6.7% 8.1% 6.9% 10.2% 7.8% 10.6% 8.6%
Samuel Cushing 5.3% 4.7% 5.7% 6.7% 6.7% 7.6% 5.9% 7.7% 7.2% 7.9% 7.4% 7.9% 7.8% 6.5% 5.0%
Zachary Drach 1.6% 1.9% 2.0% 1.1% 2.9% 2.7% 3.2% 3.5% 2.6% 3.7% 5.6% 6.2% 9.8% 12.9% 40.3%
Ben Lamont 4.0% 3.5% 3.9% 3.4% 7.8% 5.5% 5.4% 7.0% 7.0% 7.4% 6.4% 7.2% 11.6% 10.9% 9.0%
Drew Shea 7.2% 7.2% 6.6% 8.7% 6.9% 7.6% 7.3% 6.7% 9.1% 7.7% 7.7% 6.5% 5.1% 3.2% 2.5%
Conor Cashel 4.8% 4.6% 5.0% 6.7% 5.3% 5.6% 6.0% 6.5% 6.7% 6.9% 8.5% 7.5% 9.7% 9.6% 6.6%
Michael Saldi 6.4% 8.3% 8.5% 6.6% 7.3% 6.7% 7.0% 7.9% 5.6% 7.9% 7.2% 7.4% 6.2% 4.3% 2.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.