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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University2.54+7.75vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.51+3.31vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.49+6.00vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.62+4.55vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.70+3.38vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.94+1.43vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.78+0.96vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.05-0.92vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.50-3.62vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.41-4.15vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.43-1.68vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.72-3.47vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.96-5.37vs Predicted
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14Columbia University2.55-5.17vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.75Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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5.31Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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9.0Harvard University2.490.0%1st Place
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8.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.620.1%1st Place
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8.38Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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7.43Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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7.96Eckerd College2.780.1%1st Place
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7.08Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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5.38Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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5.85University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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9.32Dartmouth College2.430.0%1st Place
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8.53University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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7.63Connecticut College2.960.1%1st Place
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8.83Columbia University2.550.0%1st Place
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11.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Lippincott | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 13.7% | 13.8% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Ben Lamont | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 7.1% |
| Matthew Stroebel | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.4% |
| Charles Proctor | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 4.9% |
| Michael Saldi | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Robert Savoie | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.5% |
| Drew Shea | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% |
| Claire Dennis | 12.3% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Nate Jermain | 9.8% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Martin McDonald | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.4% |
| Samuel Cushing | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 4.9% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.7% |
| Conor Cashel | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 6.4% |
| Zachary Drach | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 40.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.