Race 12B

george-morris

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Nate Jermain 11.5% 11.4% 11.8% 10.1% 7.7% 9.0% 8.3% 7.2% 4.6% 5.5% 4.4% 3.4% 2.3% 1.8% 1.0%
Robert Savoie 5.2% 7.0% 7.4% 6.6% 7.2% 7.9% 6.4% 7.4% 7.0% 6.4% 8.4% 6.8% 6.4% 6.8% 3.1%
Claire Dennis 13.7% 12.7% 9.5% 10.4% 10.3% 8.0% 8.3% 7.5% 5.0% 5.0% 4.6% 1.6% 2.3% 1.1% 0.0%
Stephanie Hudson 13.5% 11.7% 12.1% 9.1% 9.5% 7.8% 8.4% 6.0% 6.0% 5.2% 4.2% 3.2% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4%
Drew Shea 8.1% 8.0% 7.6% 6.5% 7.6% 7.7% 7.1% 8.5% 8.0% 6.7% 7.3% 4.6% 5.9% 4.2% 2.2%
Robert Lippincott 4.9% 4.7% 5.0% 5.3% 5.1% 4.9% 5.5% 7.4% 6.8% 8.9% 6.8% 8.7% 9.3% 9.7% 7.0%
Samuel Cushing 6.5% 5.5% 5.6% 6.3% 5.8% 6.9% 7.1% 7.5% 7.9% 7.1% 8.3% 6.9% 6.8% 7.2% 4.6%
Conor Cashel 4.7% 5.2% 4.7% 6.1% 5.8% 4.9% 6.2% 5.9% 8.2% 6.7% 6.6% 8.1% 10.5% 8.8% 7.6%
Martin McDonald 3.7% 4.2% 4.6% 4.2% 5.4% 6.3% 7.2% 6.3% 6.0% 7.7% 7.3% 9.3% 8.5% 12.6% 6.7%
Jordan Bothwick 6.7% 5.7% 8.0% 7.1% 7.9% 8.1% 8.0% 6.8% 8.2% 6.7% 7.5% 6.4% 5.7% 4.9% 2.3%
Ben Lamont 3.6% 5.2% 5.3% 5.5% 5.1% 6.3% 5.7% 6.7% 5.8% 7.0% 7.0% 8.8% 8.7% 8.8% 10.5%
Matthew Stroebel 4.7% 3.4% 4.8% 5.6% 7.9% 5.9% 6.1% 6.5% 7.7% 6.4% 7.3% 9.8% 8.1% 9.3% 6.5%
Michael Saldi 6.3% 7.3% 6.0% 7.8% 6.6% 6.5% 6.8% 6.8% 7.8% 8.6% 8.0% 7.7% 6.8% 4.1% 2.9%
Charles Proctor 5.6% 5.9% 5.2% 6.6% 6.1% 7.2% 6.5% 6.6% 7.6% 8.0% 6.3% 8.1% 8.5% 7.4% 4.4%
Zachary Drach 1.3% 2.1% 2.4% 2.8% 2.0% 2.6% 2.4% 2.9% 3.4% 4.1% 6.0% 6.6% 8.3% 12.3% 40.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.