Race 1A

south-series-5

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
John Fonte 3.1% 2.1% 2.8% 4.1% 3.7% 5.1% 6.3% 9.5% 14.3% 49.0%
Colby Vavolotis 17.6% 17.1% 16.6% 11.4% 12.5% 10.1% 7.4% 4.0% 2.6% 0.7%
David Pierce 10.3% 10.5% 10.1% 11.4% 12.9% 13.1% 11.2% 9.8% 7.5% 3.2%
Johanna Kincaid 21.8% 18.8% 17.7% 14.2% 10.6% 7.0% 5.3% 3.0% 1.6% 0.0%
Johannes Raatz 6.7% 7.3% 7.2% 7.6% 9.0% 9.1% 11.6% 15.0% 15.5% 11.0%
Tasha Greenwood 8.2% 6.4% 7.1% 10.2% 9.5% 10.7% 11.6% 13.8% 14.1% 8.4%
Andrew Morgan 4.0% 6.0% 6.0% 8.7% 8.5% 10.1% 12.0% 14.3% 16.7% 13.7%
Campbell Duffy 9.6% 12.0% 10.9% 9.7% 12.2% 12.8% 11.4% 9.6% 8.3% 3.5%
Christopher Jensen 11.5% 10.4% 13.0% 11.0% 11.5% 11.3% 11.8% 9.3% 6.6% 3.6%
Kaitlyn Norton 7.2% 9.4% 8.6% 11.7% 9.6% 10.7% 11.4% 11.7% 12.8% 6.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.