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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Northeastern University1.83+3.94vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.29+1.96vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.01-0.62vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.58+1.53vs Predicted
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6Bates College2.26-1.02vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.78-3.23vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.18-2.82vs Predicted
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9Amherst College1.69-2.74vs Predicted
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10Brandeis University0.67-1.68vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.97-5.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.94Northeastern University1.830.1%1st Place
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4.96Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
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3.38Brown University3.010.2%1st Place
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6.53Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.580.1%1st Place
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4.98Bates College2.260.1%1st Place
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3.77University of Vermont2.780.2%1st Place
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5.18Roger Williams University2.180.1%1st Place
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6.26Amherst College1.690.1%1st Place
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8.32Brandeis University0.670.0%1st Place
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5.68University of Rhode Island1.970.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tasha Greenwood | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 8.5% |
| Christopher Jensen | 10.8% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 5.8% | 3.5% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 21.9% | 20.0% | 16.3% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Morgan | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 17.5% | 13.1% |
| David Pierce | 11.0% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 3.4% |
| Colby Vavolotis | 19.9% | 16.2% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Campbell Duffy | 9.1% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 2.5% |
| Johannes Raatz | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 11.9% |
| John Fonte | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 16.2% | 49.5% |
| Kaitlyn Norton | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.