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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.73+6.81vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.28+7.26vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.56+7.05vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.29+5.36vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.61+7.89vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.28+3.29vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+3.18vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.38+1.07vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.68-1.39vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University1.49+3.61vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.16-1.08vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-0.41vs Predicted
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13University of Miami1.93-0.87vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.72-6.52vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.18-9.61vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62-3.94vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.07-2.68vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-6.64vs Predicted
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19College of Charleston2.38-9.92vs Predicted
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20Connecticut College0.27-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.81Brown University2.737.0%1st Place
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9.26Tulane University2.284.9%1st Place
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10.05Boston College2.565.7%1st Place
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9.36Yale University2.295.0%1st Place
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12.89University of Rhode Island1.612.1%1st Place
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9.29U. S. Naval Academy2.286.1%1st Place
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10.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.1%1st Place
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9.07Dartmouth College2.385.5%1st Place
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7.61Roger Williams University2.687.8%1st Place
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13.61Northwestern University1.491.8%1st Place
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9.92University of Pennsylvania2.164.8%1st Place
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11.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.773.0%1st Place
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12.13University of Miami1.933.5%1st Place
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7.48Stanford University2.728.3%1st Place
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5.39Harvard University3.1815.1%1st Place
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12.06St. Mary's College of Maryland1.622.5%1st Place
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14.32Northeastern University1.071.7%1st Place
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11.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.934.1%1st Place
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9.08College of Charleston2.385.8%1st Place
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17.55Connecticut College0.270.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guthrie Braun | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kelly Holthus | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 5.7% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Miles Williams | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 5.7% |
| Jack Welburn | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| William Michels | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Carlos de Castro | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Shea Smith | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 9.2% |
| Jackson McAliley | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 2.4% |
| Aidan Dennis | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 4.4% |
| Lucas Woodworth | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Justin Callahan | 15.1% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Felix Cutler | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 3.9% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 16.2% | 12.6% |
| Maks Groom | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 2.8% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 12.2% | 53.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.