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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.83+4.97vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.78+1.86vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.01-0.60vs Predicted
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5Bates College2.26-0.01vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.29-1.12vs Predicted
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7Amherst College1.69-0.75vs Predicted
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8Brandeis University0.67+0.40vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.97-3.43vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.58-3.49vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.18-5.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.97Northeastern University1.830.1%1st Place
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3.86University of Vermont2.780.2%1st Place
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3.4Brown University3.010.2%1st Place
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4.99Bates College2.260.1%1st Place
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4.88Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
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6.25Amherst College1.690.1%1st Place
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8.4Brandeis University0.670.0%1st Place
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5.57University of Rhode Island1.970.1%1st Place
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6.51Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.580.1%1st Place
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5.19Roger Williams University2.180.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tasha Greenwood | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 9.3% |
| Colby Vavolotis | 18.3% | 16.3% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 22.3% | 19.8% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| David Pierce | 9.9% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 2.7% |
| Christopher Jensen | 11.2% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 3.2% |
| Johannes Raatz | 7.6% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 16.8% | 10.9% |
| John Fonte | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 16.8% | 48.9% |
| Kaitlyn Norton | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 6.0% |
| Andrew Morgan | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 17.4% | 13.9% |
| Campbell Duffy | 8.5% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.