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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Chicago0.55+2.53vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan-0.17+2.71vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-1.47+3.96vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota-0.33+0.95vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University1.66-3.16vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-1.85+1.69vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin0.04-2.71vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-1.71-0.78vs Predicted
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9University of Saint Thomas-0.03-4.59vs Predicted
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10Saginaw Valley State University-3.47-0.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.53University of Chicago0.5512.2%1st Place
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4.71University of Michigan-0.176.9%1st Place
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6.96Northwestern University-1.471.8%1st Place
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4.95University of Minnesota-0.336.8%1st Place
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1.84Northwestern University1.6651.4%1st Place
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7.69Northwestern University-1.851.1%1st Place
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4.29University of Wisconsin0.049.7%1st Place
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7.22University of Michigan-1.712.6%1st Place
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4.41University of Saint Thomas-0.037.1%1st Place
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9.41Saginaw Valley State University-3.470.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Leavitt | 12.2% | 21.1% | 19.8% | 18.6% | 13.2% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John McCalmont | 6.9% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 16.2% | 16.7% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 7.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Marguerite Eno | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 19.4% | 24.1% | 20.1% | 5.0% |
| Hayden Johansen | 6.8% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 16.9% | 14.8% | 8.7% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Delaney Smith | 51.4% | 25.6% | 14.1% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Bascoe | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 21.1% | 33.1% | 11.8% |
| Penelope Whiteside | 9.7% | 12.8% | 15.4% | 16.0% | 16.2% | 14.3% | 9.3% | 5.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Beute | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 22.6% | 27.1% | 7.6% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 7.1% | 12.6% | 16.2% | 15.8% | 16.9% | 15.2% | 9.9% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Adam Bryan | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 11.5% | 74.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.